UPDATE 2-China Dec FX reserves rise to $3.14 trln, highest since Sept 2016

By Kitco News / January 07, 2018 / www.kitco.com / Article Link

* China's FX reserves climb by $20 bln in December

* Economists polled by Reuters expected reserves to rise by $6 bln

* Eleventh month of gains, longest stretch since June 2014

* Reserves rise $129.5 bln in 2017, first annual gain since 2014


(Updating to add forex regulator's comment in 7th para)

BEIJING, Jan 7 (Reuters) - China's foreign exchange reserves rose to their highest in more than a year in December, blowing past economists' estimates, as tight regulations and a strong yuan continued to discourage capital outflows, central bank data showed on Sunday.

Notching up their 11th straight month of gains, reserves rose $20.2 billion in December to $3.14 trillion, the highest since September 2016 and the biggest monthly increase since July. That compares with an increase of $10 billion in November.

Economists polled by Reuters had expected reserves to rise by $6 billion to $3.125 trillion.

Capital flight had been seen as a major risk for China at the start of 2017, but a combination of tighter capital controls and a faltering dollar helped the yuan stage a strong turnaround, bolstering confidence in the economy.

The yuan rose around 6.8 percent against the greenback in 2017, recovering from a 6.5 percent loss in 2016 and reversing three straight years of depreciation. For the full year, China's FX reserves rose $129.5 billion from $3.011 trillion at the end of 2016. That's the first annual rise since 2014.

China's foreign exchange regulator said in a statement on its website that it would keep the nation's forex reserves and international balance of payments "balanced and stable" in 2018. The country's reserves dropped by nearly $1 trillion from a peak of $3.99 trillion in June 2014 to $2.998 trillion in January 2017 as it sought to shore up the yuan and reduce potentially destabilising capital outflows. But reserves have since climbed by $142 billion.

Despite the improved capital flow picture, China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange has continued a clampdown on the movements of funds abroad. The regulator announced last month it would cap overseas withdrawals by people using domestic Chinese bank cards starting this year. Some major global acquisitions by Chinese firms have also been put on ice by regulators, who fear they are really intended to disguise movements of capital offshore, though Beijing has maintained genuine investments will still be approved. China's central bank reported net foreign exchange buying for the third consecutive month in November, marking a policy victory for the authorities after a long battle to stabilise the yuan, although analysts say capital flows are likely to remain volatile as the economy slows.

Economists polled by Reuters expect the yuan to depreciate slightly this year if the dollar firms. The value of gold reserves rose to $76.47 billion at the end of December, from $75.833 billion at the end of November, data on the People's Bank of China's website showed.


(Reporting by Josephine Mason, Meng Meng and Cheng Fang; Editing by Himani Sarkar)

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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