Copper slipped on Monday in thin trading as signs that the property market was cooling in top metals consumer China worsened the outlook for industrial metals demand and weighed on market sentiment.Three-month copper closed at $7,260 a tonne, down more than 1 percent from a close at $7,345 a tonne on Friday. Traders said business was being pared back ahead of the end of the year.Prices have shed o...Read More
Copper posted its first weekly gain in five weeks on Friday as it pushed near $8,000 per tonne on the back of persistent inventory tightness and a move this week by central banks to boost liquidity.With the exception of tin futures, which lost nearly 4 percent this week, investment demand for the base metals was up sharply. One standout performer was aluminium, which surged nearly 7 percent after...Read More
Industrial metals rose for a second day in London, extending the biggest rally in two years, as figures showed manufacturing may swell in top global consumer China. Chinese manufacturing might expand in October for the first month in four after a preliminary purchasing managers’ index released by HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics today climbed to 51.1 from September’s final readin...Read More
Shares of Quadra FNX rose more than 7 percent on Monday morning after the Canadian base metal miner reported a large increase in quarterly copper production.Vancouver-based Quadra said its second-quarter production rose 20 percent from the previous quarter at its mines in the United States, Canada and Chile.The company, which is expected to report quarterly financial results on Aug. 10, said coppe...Read More
Copper fell on Monday as risk aversion swept through the markets due to the worsening euro zone debt crisis and the threat of a U.S. default, while the fight against inflation in top metals consumer China looked set to intensify.Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.3 percent at $9,644 a tonne at 1427 GMT from $9,672 at the close on Friday.The metal used in power and constructio...Read More
By Andy HomeAssuming, like the investment bank community, you are still keeping the faith with the overall bull narrative, the coming period will be all about divergence between both commodities in general and the LME metals in particular.Or as researchers at Barclays Capital put it in the company’s most recent weekly research report, “the supply side is shaping a more diverse fundamen...Read More
Copper inched higher on Tuesday as the euro steadied against the dollar ahead of a series of U.S. economic reports, while signals that Chinese consumers are buying provided a floor for prices.Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $8,880.50 a tonne in official rings, up from $8,840 at Monday’s close.The metal used in power and construction hit its lowest in more than five mo...Read More
By Andy HomeIndustrial users of the London Metal Exchange have greeted the launch of physical exchange traded funds for base metals with a mixture of fear and loathing.By removing metal from the supply chain during a period of expected market deficit, could they become a price driver in their own right? Or will they prove to be a damp squib, a purely temporary by-product of “loose” mon...Read More
With the first half of 2018 now drawn to a close, much of the financial medias’ headlines and commentary relating to the gold market has been focusing on the fact that the US dollar gold price has moved lower year-to-date. Specifically, from a US dollar price of $1302.50 at close on 31 December 2017, the price of gold in US dollar terms has slipped by approximately 3.8% over the last six mon...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Dec 18, 2019December 13, 2019Food prices are poised to see their biggest rise in several years, and not just because China is going to become a buyer again of U.S. agricultural goods.There is a different reason for expecting food prices to rise, and it is contained in this week’s lead chart. Gold prices act as a leading indication for lots of diffe...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Dec 31, 2019December 27, 2019Gold prices are seeing a Christmas week pop, getting all of the gold bugs excited again.But the smart money “commercial” traders of gold futures have a different vision of the future. Every Friday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes its Commitment of Traders (COT) Report, detailing the numbe...Read More
And just like that, it never happened!The S&P 500 just broke to a new record high...Continue...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Jan 9, 2020January 3, 2020The efforts of the Federal Reserve to inject extra liquidity into the banking system over the past 2 months have helped to fuel the year-end (2019) rally.Questions remain about how long the Fed may choose to keep up that effort, and whether the Fed has enough ink in the printing presses to overcome other market forces. And with...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Jan 15, 2020January 9, 2020The major averages are ignoring missile strikes, oil market turmoil, and excessively bullish sentiment, keeping prices marching higher in 2020.But we have a major bearish divergence now in the VIX Index, which is NOT making lower lows to confirm those higher price highs.The VIX Index made its lowest closing low for this price u...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Oct 22, 2019October 17, 2019Short-term interest rates have been falling, pushing the Federal Reserve to cut its own Fed Funds rate target.This week’s chart says that there is still a lot further for rates to fall. I get a lot of data out of the CFTC’s weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) Report, and I review the relevant insights every Friday i...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 2, 2019August 30, 2019We currently have trade wars, presidential tweets, inversions in the yield curve, slowing earnings growth, decreasing corporate share buy-backs, and all manner of other problems affecting the stock market.And yet the long-term message from crude oil prices says that the stock market ought to continue trending upward into 2021.It...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 15, 2019September 12, 2019President Trump has been articulating his wish on Twitter and elsewhere that the U.S. have interest rates as low as other countries.That’s an understandable wish, as no one likes to pay more than the other guy is paying for something.In economics there are often unintended side effects, and that is what this week&rsquo...Read More
As the broad market continues to ride its best year-to-date performance in more than two decades, investors who haven't been paying close attention may be surprised to discover that 2019 has also been a stellar year for gold. While gold isn't having quite the historic run that we're seeing in equities so far this year, it's not for lack of performance - metal prices simply surged higher faster,...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 24, 2019September 19, 2019Back on August 22, I wrote here about how the spread between the 10-year T-Note yield and the 3-month T-Bill yield gives us a leading indication that is relevant for small cap relative performance.This time, I look at the "yield curve" in a different way, via the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields.The 10-year to 3-mont...Read More
Reports that undocumented immigrants are protesting in the Charles de Gaulle Airport in #Paris right now and won't let people board their flights until they meet and talk Continue...Read More