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SMM Evening Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Nonferrous metals traded higher this afternoon with zinc and nickel rising over 1%. Lead and copper were up close to 1%, while tin and aluminium edged down slightly.Ferrous metals were firm today with iron ore leading the gain with over 3% rise. Coking coal moved higher by 1.7%, while hot-rolled coil and rebar rose over 1%. Coke also traded up slightly.Copper: SHFE copp...Read More

SMM Evening Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Nonferrous metals traded higher this afternoon with zinc and nickel rising over 1%. Lead and copper were up close to 1%, while tin and aluminium edged down slightly.Ferrous metals were firm today with iron ore leading the gain with over 3% rise. Coking coal moved higher by 1.7%, while hot-rolled coil and rebar rose over 1%. Coke also traded up slightly.Copper: SHFE copp...Read More

Copper: Get used to it

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

Consolidation after 12.4 percent year-end rally Copper prices rallied sharply between December 6 and 28, reaching a fresh multi-year high of $7,312.50 per tonne, from the month’s low of $6,507.50 per tonne, a gain of 12.4 percent. Given there was a general strong move across the metals, copper’s price rally was not copper-specific. It appears that there was a surge of interest to increas...Read More

SMM Evening Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Nonferrous metals traded higher this afternoon with zinc and nickel rising over 1%. Lead and copper were up close to 1%, while tin and aluminium edged down slightly.Ferrous metals were firm today with iron ore leading the gain with over 3% rise. Coking coal moved higher by 1.7%, while hot-rolled coil and rebar rose over 1%. Coke also traded up slightly.Copper: SHFE copp...Read More

Exclusive: China base metals output data

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM) – SMM surveys major Chinese producers in the base metals market every month to get first-hand production data. The following table shows the latest output in December and our forecast for January.CopperChina’s copper output rose in December as some large producers looked to hit their annual production target at the year-end. Qingyuan Jiangxi Copper and Shandong Hu...Read More

Lead: Due to play catch-up?

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

Price working higher, approaching October 2017 high Given Glencore’s Lady Loretta restart announcements in December, it is interesting that lead prices have continued to work higher. But lead has underperformed sister metal zinc, which has seen fresh 10-year highs. The upward trend in lead prices has recently been given a boost by the cold weather and snow that has hit the North-East USA and...Read More

Exclusive: China base metals output data

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM) – SMM surveys major Chinese producers in the base metals market every month to get first-hand production data. The following table shows the latest output in December and our forecast for January.CopperChina’s copper output rose in December as some large producers looked to hit their annual production target at the year-end. Qingyuan Jiangxi Copper and Shandong Hu...Read More

Exclusive: China base metals output data

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM) – SMM surveys major Chinese producers in the base metals market every month to get first-hand production data. The following table shows the latest output in December and our forecast for January.CopperChina’s copper output rose in December as some large producers looked to hit their annual production target at the year-end. Qingyuan Jiangxi Copper and Shandong Hu...Read More

Tech Talk for Tuesday January 9th 2018

January 09, 2018 / www.timingthemarket.ca

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 2 points in pre-opening trade.The Canadian Dollar was virtually unchanged following release of Canadian December Housing report. Starts at 8:15 AM EST. Consensus was 211,000 versus 251,000 in November. Actual was 217,000.Target gained $2.40 to $69.58 after raising its fiscal fourth quarter profit and sales estimatesUnd...Read More

Nickel: Bulls vs bears, EVs vs NPI

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

Nickel prices rallied well ahead of the fundamentals during LME Week when the market got carried away by the prospects for demand from the electric vehicle (EV) market. Having set a high of $13,030 per tonne, prices corrected to $10,740, which felt justified given increased ore shipments from Indonesia and the Philippines. Prices have since rebounded back above to $12,000 per tonne but this move i...Read More

China sees lower nickel ore imports from the Philippines in December, Indonesia exports up

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ? Nickel ore exports from the Philippines to China were expected to be 720,000 wmt, or 6,600 mt in Ni content, according to SMM research. This is down 76% from volumes seen in November.The slump was mainly led by the raining season in Surigao region while shipments in Palawan and Zambales only rose slightly. Shipments from Tawi-Tawi region was stable.On quality breakdown...Read More

Market Now Entering Mania Phase, Says Strategist

January 09, 2018 / www.financialsense.com

The following is a summary of our recent podcast interview with Gary Dorsch on Stocks, Commodities, which can be accessed on our site here or on iTunes here. We've witnessed remarkable stock market performance in the last year and a half, with the Dow Industrials and S&P 500 not experiencing a 3 percent or greater pullback during this parabolic rally. "This has never h...Read More

SMM Morning Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Cooper: While LME copper sees temporary support at $7,100/mt, the SHFE copper is expected to trade downwards to 54,000 yuan/mt. However, the implementation of copper scrap policy and the expected supply tightness of concentrate would limit the down side. LME copper is expected to trade at $7,090-7,150/mt today and the SHFE 1803 contract is to trade at 54,300-54,900 yuan...Read More

China's zinc smelters see lower operating rates in December

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ? The operating rates at zinc smelters in December dropped 4.16 percentage points from the previous month with companies of all sizes seeing declines.Even though some smelters have come out of their maintenance schedules and Hunan Kingstone Mining has resumed its production, overall output was down over 20,000 mt from November, according to SMM research.Shorter supply of...Read More

SMM Morning Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Cooper: While LME copper sees temporary support at $7,100/mt, the SHFE copper is expected to trade downwards to 54,000 yuan/mt. However, the implementation of copper scrap policy and the expected supply tightness of concentrate would limit the down side. LME copper is expected to trade at $7,090-7,150/mt today and the SHFE 1803 contract is to trade at 54,300-54,900 yuan...Read More

Tin: A point to prove

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

Quiet start to 2018... Tin was fairly quiet on the LME during the first trading week of 2018 as industrial metals experienced some profit-taking after investors overextended their long positioning in final week of 2017. The global macroeconomic backdrop remains robust, however, and we believe the stronger tone to metal prices will continue. ...but tin has some catching up to do For tin specificall...Read More

Faster Economy, Strong But Slowing Stock Market in 2018

January 09, 2018 / www.financialsense.com

Impressive Economic AccelerationOur theme for 2018 is for an even stronger economy accompanied by slowing stock market growth as compared to 2017. Much of the slow recovery since 2009 has been on the backs of the consumer without the normal contribution of Investment Spending and Exports. The new expansion cycle we entered in 2016 appears to have sparked a return of more normal...Read More

SMM Morning Comments (Jan 9)

January 09, 2018 / news.metal.com

SHANGHAI, Jan 9 (SMM)? 1/4 ?Cooper: While LME copper sees temporary support at $7,100/mt, the SHFE copper is expected to trade downwards to 54,000 yuan/mt. However, the implementation of copper scrap policy and the expected supply tightness of concentrate would limit the down side. LME copper is expected to trade at $7,090-7,150/mt today and the SHFE 1803 contract is to trade at 54,300-54,900 yuan...Read More

Zinc: Q1 price forecasts raised

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

Zinc has opened 2018 in a buoyant mood; LME 3-month zinc has set a fresh high of $3,390/tonne at the start of this week. The fundamentals point to a supply deficit, exchange stocks are falling and demand looks robust, driven by concerted global growth. At the same time higher prices are likely to attract more interest in forward selling and may attract more idle capacity restarts, but the outlook...Read More

Base metals investment analysis: Mixed positioning

January 09, 2018 / www.metalbulletinresearch.com

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