Turkish deep-sea scrap prices inched up with news of a fresh deal from the Baltic Sea on Thursday January 11. A steel mill in northern Turkey booked the cargo, comprising 12,000 tonnes of HMS 1&2 (80:20) at $375 per tonne, 12,000 tonnes of shredded at $380 per tonne and 4,000 tonnes...Read More
By Dave KranzlerI fully expect the Government's Census Bureau to post a mind-blowing headline retail sales number for December. Hyperbolic headline economic statistics derived from mysterious "seasonal adjustments" based on questionable sampling methodology is part of the official propaganda policy mandated by the Executive Branch of Government.But I also believe that retail sales were likely...Read More
By Graham SummersIf you want to make money investing, you first need to understand the structure of the asset classes in our current financial system.Everyone likes to go bonkers over stocks, but the reality is that the stock market is in fact one of the smallest and least liquid markets on the planet. All told, US stocks are roughly $26 trillion in market cap.By way of contrast, the US debt mar...Read More
By Craig HemkeBeginning in late 2016, we began to question what we termed "The Generally Accepted Narrative of 2017". This allowed us to accurately forecast rising precious metal prices last year. For 2018, we will generally rely upon three overriding themes, and we discuss them in detail today. As a recap, what was GAN2017? We first spelled it out in a formal post on January 17, 2017. You can r...Read More
By George SmithIf Tom Cruise was Born on the Fourth of July, then he can thank Thomas Paine, who it can be said was born on January 10, 1776 with the publication of his incendiary essay, Common Sense, that argued for independence from England. He priced it cheaply (two shillings), argued passionately, and wrote in a direct style so that readers could understand him. It was sold and distribute...Read More
Iron ore prices rose just above $79 per tonne cfr China on Thursday January 11 following news of a cyclone developing off the coast of Western Australia resulting in the closure of the Port of Port Hedland.Metal Bulletin's 62% Fe Iron Ore Index Today: $79.08 per tonne cfr Qingdao Daily change: up by $0.77 per tonne Month-to-date average: $77.08 per tonne Metal Bulletin's...Read More
- Gold prices rise to $1,326/oz on concerns China may slow U.S. Treasury buying- Equities fell sharply on the report as did Treasurys and the U.S. dollar- Chinese officials think U.S. debt is becoming less attractive compared to other assets- Trade tensions could provide a reason to slow down or halt U.S. debt purchases- U.S. dollar vulnerable as China remains biggest buyer of U.S. sovereign de...Read More
In my view there is nothing special about China's intention of reducing US treasury investment. This was bound to happen much earlier. China is "thee" happening place for the global financial service industry. It has opened up its economy for global investors. China is moving towards a service oriented growth from a manufacturing growth. Chinese moves economically or geopolitically is antagonizi...Read More
Seaborne iron ore prices picked up on Thursday January 11 following news of a cyclone in Western Australia that led to the closure of Port of Port Hedland.Key driversTropical Cyclone Joyce formed off the west coast of Western Australia earlier in the day and is expected to intensify in the evening as it moves toward the coast in a south to south-westerly direction, the Pilbara Ports Authority said...Read More
Turkish imported billet prices have inched up on higher scrap prices, while the country's domestic and export billet prices have remained stable over the past week, sources said on Thursday January 11.Metal Bulletin's weekly price assessment for billet imports into Turkey was $525-530 per tonne cfr on Thursday, narrowing upward from last week's $520-530 per...Read More
China's domestic rebar market weakened on Thursday January 11 after a major mill announced lower list prices for mid-January. Domestic Eastern China (Shanghai): 3,830-3,900 yuan ($588-599) per tonne, narrowed downward by 20 yuan per tonne Northern China (Beijing): 3,870-3,890 yuan per tonne, narrowed downward by 10 yuan per tonne Shagang, a major producer of rebar in east China, lowered its list p...Read More
China may slow down its U.S. debt buying. Will gold rally or plunge, then?Dragons Love Hoarding Gold and Not OnlyDragons love gold. In Greek mythology, dragons were set by the gods to guard golden treasures. It makes perfect sense, since it would be rather difficult to find better guards. Everybody who watched The Hobbit series knows that this is true – the powerful Smaug hoarded a lot and w...Read More
China's ferrous futures largely trended downward during morning trading on Thursday January 11 with the exception of the coking coal contract, which ended the session higher.Futures closing prices - morning session Shanghai Futures Exchange May rebar: 3,844 ($58) per tonne, down 17 yuan per tonne May hot-rolled coil: 3,880 yuan per tonne, down 14 yuan per tonne Dalian Commodity Exchange May iron o...Read More
– Gold prices rise to $1,326/oz on concerns China may slow U.S. Treasury buying– Equities fell sharply on the report as did Treasurys and the U.S. dollar– Chinese officials think U.S. debt is becoming less attractive compared to other assets– Trade tensions could provide a reason to slow down or halt U.S. debt purchases– U.S. dollar vulnerable as China remains bi...Read More
If you want to make money investing, you first need to understand the structure of the asset classes in our current financial system,Everyone likes to go bonkers over stocks, but the reality is that the stock market is in fact one of the smallest and least liquid markets on the planet. All told, US stocks are roughly $26 trillion in market cap.By way of contrast, the US debt markets (Treasuries, c...Read More
Hello fellow traders, in this blog post, we will discuss oil in a more bigger picture.In the chart below, you can see crude oil futures on the weekly chart.From the 02/08/2016 low, we can clearly see that the market has a potential 5 swing incomplete bullish sequence. It seems like that it is still in the fifth swing. The weekly target for us is between 68.53-86.82. Please note a 5 swing...Read More
East Asia's stainless steel market has started to show signs of weakness, with prices for cold-rolled coil retreating over the past week amid thin trading and soft demand.Metal Bulletin's assessment of prices for benchmark 304 stainless 2mm cold-rolled coil was $2,130-2,150 per tonne cif East Asian ports for the week ended Wednesday January 10, down $20-50 per tonne from $2,150-2,200 per tonne cif...Read More
If you want to make money investing, you first need to understand the structure of the asset classes in our current financial system,Everyone likes to go bonkers over stocks, but the reality is that the stock market is in fact one of the smallest and least liquid markets on the planet. All told, US stocks are roughly $26 trillion in market cap.By way of contrast, the US debt markets (Treasuries, c...Read More
Gold remains popular among the rich. It is perceived by some as a store of value, a counterbalance to other assets and a safe haven amid geopolitical turbulence. It ticked up amid jitters over US-North Korea tensions in October; this week the gold price rose on dollar weakness. But gold is also seen as an old-fashioned investment opportunity, with the metal set to be replaced by cryptocurrencies...Read More