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Why bearishness on copper looks extreme

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

With safety issues increasing the likelihood of a work stoppage at Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold Inc.’s Grasberg project in Indonesia, coupled with a strike set to begin Nov. 10 at the Antamina mine in Peru, the probability of a deficit in the copper market has significantly risen.Estimates suggest that these two labour disruptions could remove 84,000 tonnes of mined copper supply throu...Read More

China AM: Ferrous futures mostly down on weaker sentiment

June 27, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com

China's ferrous futures largely trended downward during morning trading on Wednesday June 27 on weaker sentiment, dampening trading activity in the spot market. Uncertainty over China's monetary policy adjustments and a brewing global trade war were among the factors weighing on sentiment.Futures closing prices - morning session Shanghai Futures Exchange October rebar: 3,699 yuan ($563) per tonne,...Read More

Tech Talk for Wednesday June 27th 2018

June 27, 2018 / www.timingthemarket.ca

U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 2 points in pre-opening trade. Index futures recovered about 10 points after concerns about an imminent trade war with China related to using U.S. technology will be re-examined.Index futures were virtually unchanged following release of economic news at 8:30 AM EDT. Consensus for May Durable Goods Orders was a drop o...Read More

Choose First Quantum over Lundin - CIBC

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

First Quantum Minerals Ltd. and Lundin Mining Corp. have enough nickel exposure to provide investors with an opportunity to benefit from higher prices, but there are plenty of ways they differ.Neither company faces the risks associated with excessive nickel exposure since the primary focus of both companies is copper, but Tom Meyer, a mining analyst at CIBC World Markets, noted First Quantum&rsquo...Read More

Finding value in beaten-down mining stocks

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

Base metal stocks have been battered in recent months as commodity prices declined, regardless of their quality. Buying them after a sell-off is a risky proposition, so Raymond James analyst Alex Terentiew waded through the muck to determine which ones have been punished unfairly.He evaluated the stocks from a number of angles, including a sensitivity test to see how they would withstand a prolong...Read More

Why it may be better for Teck to buy than build

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

Copper already accounts for about 25% of overall revenue at Teck Resources Ltd., but the base metal’s role in the company’s portfolio should become even greater after 2014.Deutsche Bank’s Jorge Beristain, who was part of a group of analysts that recently toured two of Teck’s copper assets in Latin America, noted that ongoing expansion in the region points to approximately 2...Read More

Comparing mining guidance and performance

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

It goes without saying that beating guidance is a good way to earn favour from investors. The market has been simply brutal to mining companies that failed to meet their own expectations — or those of analysts — in the last 12 months (just ask Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd).So which companies do a good job of meeting guidance, and which don’t? Canaccord Genuity base metal analysts Gary...Read More

CHINA HRC: Domestic prices widen after buyers return

June 27, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com

China's domestic hot-rolled coil prices widened on Wednesday June 27 after trading activity picked up in the latter half of the day in response to lower offers, a situation that traders went on to capitalize on.DomesticEastern China (Shanghai): 4,220-4,250 yuan ($642-647) per tonne, widening by 10 yuan per tonneNorthern China (Tianjin): 4,120-4,160 yuan per tonne, widening upward by 20 yuan per to...Read More

Why the TSX should outperform and what sectors to be in

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

The underperformance of Canadian equities versus their U.S. counterparts may be coming to an end.With investor sentiment towards U.S. stocks suggesting excessive optimism and recent comments from the Fed and ECB signaling a less dovish near-term stance, David Doyle of Macquarie Capital Markets thinks global equities may be entering a consolidation phase.The strategist believes this could bring abo...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 27/06: LME copper, nickel prices drift further; tin sinks below $20k/t

June 27, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com

Base metals on the London Metal Exchange continued to drift lower during morning trading on Wednesday June 27, with ongoing trade uncertainties, a firm dollar and broad inventory drawdowns putting pressure on the complex. Copper prices fell by 0.6% during morning trading, drifting to a low of $6,667 per tonne, the lowest point since April 4. Volatile stock movements continue to unsettle the market...Read More

SHFE vs LME physical arbitrage 27/06: Copper, aluminium, zinc, nickel

June 27, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com

The arbitrage for copper, aluminium, zinc and nickel imported into China on Wednesday June 27*Copper -$132.72 (-877.22 yuan) Aluminium -$534.07 (-3,529.97 yuan) Zinc $29.45 (194.62 yuan) Nickel -$163.06 (-1,077.74 yuan) *Metal Bulletin calculates the physical arbitrage for import into...Read More

Apple Inc buys tin as producers can't keep up with demand

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

As metal prices plunged on the eve of the financial crisis in September 2008, Peru’s billionaire Brescia family paid about $400 million to buy the world’s largest tin deposit in the Amazon jungle.Now their mining company Minsur SA sits alone among mostly Asian rivals as the only major producer in 2014 that can raise output of a metal increasingly in demand because it’s mixed into...Read More

New report from the World Gold Council explores the climate change impacts of gold

June 27, 2018 / www.gold.org

The World Gold Council today launched its ‘Gold and climate change’ report, aiming to provide investors with greater clarity around gold’s impacts on climate change. Marking one year since the recommendations from the Taskforce on Climate-Related Financial Disclosure (TCFD), the report is an initial step to build understanding of the gold industry’s greenhouse gas emis...Read More

MINOR METALS MARKET REPORT 27/06: Selenium prices continue to fall; weak demand weighs on antimony prices

June 27, 2018 / www.metalbulletin.com

An overview of the minor metals markets and the reasons for any price moves.Read More

Rio Tinto's austerity drive stokes surprise dividend hike

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

Global miner Rio Tinto surprised investors with a 15 percent dividend hike after reporting a huge jump in second-half profit on Thursday, putting it in a strong position for a big capital return in 2015.Rio’s result will set the pace for other mega miners, who have shelved projects, axed costs, sold assets and cut debt over the past 18 months to satisfy shareholders wanting a bigger share of...Read More

Base metal stocks in trouble as China outlook weakens

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

Slowing growth and credit concerns in China have taken an enormous toll on base metal prices. The related mining stocks have been hammered as well in recent weeks, and according to analysts at Dundee Capital Markets, there could be worse to come.“The bottom line is that with stimulus being tapered, China’s slowing fundamentals will likely reassert themselves and we believe miners will...Read More

Defense!

June 27, 2018 / dailyreckoning.com

I couldn’t breathe... There were bursts of light in my field of vision... And it was all I could do to keep from puking.My high school coach was in my face yelling at the top of his lungs.“Zach, I have you in the game to play DEFENSE!” he bellowed.“If you can’t get back to your position and keep them from scoring, I’ll find someone who WILL!”His words stun...Read More

Base metals: think about the long term

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

Thursday was such a dreadful day for global markets (and especially for precious metals) that investors and media took little notice of base metals, which also took a tumble. Copper is now trading just above US$3.00 a pound, way down from a high of more than US$4.50 in 2011.Jessica Fung, a commodity strategist at BMO Capital Markets, noted that a slight bounce back is possible in the short term. B...Read More

Copper falls to one-month low on demand concerns

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

By Veronica Brown and Melanie BurtonLONDON — Copper fell to its lowest in a month on Tuesday after disappointing U.S. employment data on Friday raised concerns about slowing growth, while a slight fall in China’s copper imports did little to shore up sentiment.Losses were limited, however, by the view that China’s economic slowdown was not drastic, with off-take for copper seen k...Read More

Mining stocks hovering near levels not seen since QE2

January 01, 1970 / business.financialpost.com

While global markets have not been kind to stocks in recent days, it’s mining stocks that have taken the biggest beating — and are now at levels not seen since mid-2010.“Energy, base metals and gold stocks remain more than 20% off their cyclical peaks of a year ago,” said Ste??fane Marion, chief economist and strategist with National Bank.Mining stocks have not been this lo...Read More

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