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HOTTER ON METALS: Changing LME clearing model could kill the golden goose

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The London Metal Exchange and its clearing house are revisiting a proposal to transition to a different way of calculating its clearing methodology. The exchange announced its discussion paper on the topic on Tuesday January 19. The last attempt was made in 2017 and was rejected by LME members because it would make the provision of credit lines expensive and result in the rapid withdrawal of...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: Covid-19 to kill the LME ring

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

Covid-19 appears to have claimed another casualty: the London Metal Exchange ring trading floor. The closure of the floor, now entering its 144th year, has been proposed in a discussion paper issued by the exchange earlier on Tuesday January 19.The open outcry floor may be old, but it didn't appear to have serious underlying health issues. It has successfully fought back against talk it was set to...Read More

A Glorious Silver Market Breakout

January 30, 2021 / www.silverdoctors.com

Blastoff!by Morris Hubbartt Super Force SignalsA Leading Market Timing ServiceWe Take Every Trade Ourselves!Email: [email protected][email protected]Here are today's videos and charts. The videos are viewable on mobile phones as well as computers. Double-click to enlarge the charts.SGS Key Charts, Signals, & Video AnalysisSuper Force Signals (SFS) is being rebranded as Super Gold Signals (SGS),...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: SHFE tailwind for LME pricesAs we are entering the traditional strong demand season, we expect Chinese aluminium demand to show further recovery, and we expect demand from existing end-user sectors, new infrastructure projects and the export sector to show some increases. As a result, we believe that S...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view, including an upgrade to our aluminium price forecasts.Aluminium: Price forecasts raisedWe correctly expected the macro reflationary theme to raise the prices for all base metals but, with it being the base metal with by far the weakest fundamentals, we had expected the price of aluminium to underperform relative...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.These include an increase in our copper mine disruption estimates, upgrades to our production outlook for Indonesian nickel pig iron (NPI), a smaller refined zinc surplus, and an upgrade to our zinc price forecasts.Aluminium: Big disconnect between price and fundamentalsAluminium has extended its uptrend on the London Metal...Read More

RESEARCH: Costs drive welded linepipe, OCTG price surge

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view. buoyant flat steel market and rising raw material prices resulted in large price rises for welded pipe products across all regions in January 2021.Increases in the price assessments for helical submerged arc-welded (HSAW) pipes were of the magnitude of $140-190 per tonne, with the exception of Europe, where prices were...Read More

RESEARCH: Sharp moves up in coated steel spot markets

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.It was only a couple of months ago that contract buyers of coated steels - represented in large part by market participants from the automotive sector - were grudgingly resigned to paying as much as ?,?100 ($120) per tonne more for their contracted shipments in 2021 compared with in 2020. Increases in contract prices of...Read More

RESEARCH:US HRC price forecasts significantly upgraded for 2021

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key North American steel forecast highlights:US flat product prices maintained momentum through November, with increases accelerating in early December in response to supply shortfalls, rising scrap prices, and improving demand.While we correctly forecast further pricing gains in November, actual prices surpasse...Read More

RESEARCH: Strong demand, rising materials prices underpin bullish Chinese steel market

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Chinese domestic and export flat steel prices surged in November 2020, with the export hot-rolled coil index rising to $592 per tonne during the month from $519 per tonne previously, and the monthly average increasing by 7.5% over October.Economic activity in China continued to expand, with manufacturing output rising by 7.5...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy prices poised for strong finish to year, further strength in Q1 2021

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Key ferro-alloy forecast highlights for the coming months:?EUR? A strong recovery in both bulk and noble alloys is expected in 2021 but the markets are unlikely to return to the levels seen before the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic. We have seen a quicker-than-expected recovery across various regions amid the economic fal...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy prices poised for strong finish to 2020

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Prices for most ferro-alloys maintained their upward momentum into October, solidifying previous gains and reflecting the improved demand from steelmakers, the rebuilding of depleted inventories, and the supply-side concerns following both planned and unplanned outages. Gains were noted for ferro-silicon, silicon metal, mang...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy price gains in September position markets for strong Q4

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloys forecast highlights:Prices across most ore and alloy markets trended higher in September, buoyed by improving demand from steelmakers with the end of the summer holiday season in Europe and the United States, as well as maintained demand from Chinese steel mills. Tightening of alloy inventories...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Ferro-alloys Market Tracker

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloy forecast highlights:Prices across most ferro-alloy markets trended stable to lower in August as demand remained subdued in major markets, apart from China where steel output continues to rise at a rapid pace, supporting demand for ferro-alloys. As alloy makers seek to remedy supply/demand imbalan...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from Coaltrans Asia; what to expect for scrap, metallics demand in China

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Fastmarkets analysts were invited to present our outlook for the coking coal market at Coaltrans Asia, held online on November 23-25. One of the key topics at the event was the trade tensions between China and Australia, which overtook Mongolia to become the largest coking coal exporter to China this year...Read More

RESEARCH: Supply boost threatens iron ore price spike

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Iron ore remains the most bullish commodity of the year, with prices fuelled by Chinese demand and supply disruptions in Brazil, along with bullish sentiment. But prices are expected to come down because Brazilian exports have begun to recover, and have reached their highest level since the Brumadinho dam disaster in 2019. W...Read More

RESEARCH: Brazil's iron ore export volumes recovering; mildly positive outlook for met coal

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In the iron ore market, supply issues including heavy rains at the start of the year, followed by staffing problems during the Covid-19 pandemic, have affected exports from Brazil. This has helped Australia gain a larger market share, but since June, Brazilian export volumes have returned to levels last seen before the...Read More

RESEARCH: Iron ore, met coal diverge while pressure grows for China scrap, metallics prices

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Chinese blast furnace (BF) utilization rates have stagnated and iron ore port stock volumes are rising, reaching their highest levels since March, which suggests that iron ore supply is becoming excessive while demand is not growing. Unsurprisingly, prices dropped last week and we expect the trend to continue. The market has...Read More

RESEARCH: Stainless prices to follow carbon steel prices higher?

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.Prices of stainless steel are generally set to reach highs for the year as 2020 comes to a close. For the most common nickel-containing grades of stainless steel, this upward trend is being driven above all by rising nickel prices, which themselves are hitting relatively high levels into the end of 2020.The price increases si...Read More

RESEARCH: Asian stainless markets under pressure

February 01, 2021 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.While much commentary has been written about Asian economies performing far better than those elsewhere this year during the global Covid-19 pandemic, it is stainless steel markets in Europe and the United States that are ending the year in better shape than their Asian counterparts.We do not talk of demand levels or demand g...Read More

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