This is an interesting interview between Professor Brian Lucey and Dr. Fergal O'Connor, lecturer in finance and economics at University College Cork (UCC) on gold's performance as a safe haven asset in the last 200 hundred years and in recent history including the 2008-2012 global financial crisis. The pandemic is one moment in history and Brian and Fergal discuss what gold has done in oth...Read More
Spot gold getting higher than comex gold futures. Silver is still in bullish zone. Covid is spreading in nations which have opened after lockdown. Gold and silver are soft just due to vaccine hopes and nothing else. Rest of the factors are all bullish. Gold investment demand from ETF and others will not fall significantly unless there are other safe options. Federal Reserve meeting on 29th July...Read More
An overview of the battery raw materials markets and their latest price moves.Read More
As a contrarian and long-term holder of Goldcorp. (now Newmont), the latest push higher in the price of gold begs the question: is now the time to sell?The concern, for the uninitiated, is that after the price of gold moves powerfully higher there is an uncanny tendency for forces to mysteriously align and push prices powerfully lower.These “forces” (excuse the conspiratorial flare), h...Read More
Oil is a commodity that plays anindisputable role in the global economy. At the start of the 20th century,the oil industry went into mass production, thus giving birth to what we referto as the modern era of oil consumption. Gradually, coal was starting to take abackseat to it and oil became the world’s #1 fuel source and the undisputedking of commodity trading.To this very day, this remains...Read More
South American import prices for flat-rolled steel were higher during the week ended Friday July 17, with more expensive offers from both China and Japan, market participants have told Fastmarkets.But clients were still bidding at their previous, lower levels in an attempt to prevent the increases being imposed on September-shipment cargoes, they added.Fastmarkets assessed the price of steel hot-r...Read More
Silver is moving up quite shortly today, whichsounds bullish, until one realizes that silver tends to be particularly strongright before the precious metals market tops. And you know what’s the otherthing that quite often happens at the tops, in addition to silver’s temporarystrength? Miners tend to underperform. What did goldminers do on the last trading day of the previous week? Min...Read More
The CIS export steel billet market had become firmer by the end of the current week with more customers accepting higher prices, spurred by rising raw materials costs globally and continuing positive sentiment in China.A large cargo of Ukrainian billet was reported sold to China at $415 per tonne cfr, equivalent to $370-375 per tonne fob Black Sea.Deals from the Black Sea basin were rare in China...Read More
Every market corrects, maybe profit taking, maybe of allowing those who missed out, to get in!The current open interest on the gold contract looks to high after a very fast price move, it looks like 2008 may be repeating. A quick flushing out of the weak hands open interest may take place before a real advance in price takes place. The correction may be on the back of a wider sell off of risk asse...Read More
Indian mills increased their hot-rolled coil export prices by as much as $30 per per tonne in the week to Friday July 17, because buyers in Southeast Asia are desperate for supplies to meet rising demand, sources told Fastmarkets.Fastmarkets price assessment for steel hot-rolled coil (commodity) export, fob main port India, was 450-455 per tonne on 17July, up by 20-30 per tonne from last week's $4...Read More
Gold, silver, and theirminers’ stocks suffer their weakest seasonals of the year in early summers. With traders’ attention normally diverted to vacationsand summer fun, interest in and demand for precious metals usually wane. Without outsized investment demand, goldtends to drift sideways dragging silver and miners’ stocks with it. Feared as the summer doldrums,...Read More
Gold stocks have led the market for a year, and with economic deceleration and Fed policy response that leadership looks to continue [edit: today’s ‘in the bag’ bounce-back Jobs report does little to alter the economic deceleration theme]We have been on a bullish gold mining view for over a year now. Over that time there have been three interruptions, the downward-biased consolid...Read More
The entire global financial structure is in theprocess of faltering, breaking, and crumbling. It is better described assabotage by the Globalist cabal in league with their fascist partners. As theentire economy fractures, as all debt faces failure, as most assets break down,as countless households struggle, the King Dollar faces a certain sunset, truesafe haven will be uniformly sought. Correspond...Read More
What a crazy six months! Let’s look at the chart below. As you can see, over the first half of the year, gold gained more than 16 percent, rising from $1,515 at the end of December 2019 to $1,762 at the end of June 2020. The beginning of the year was, as usual, positive for the gold prices. However, gold did not rally in January as it did in just like in the previous years. Instead, it shot...Read More
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz claimed last week that the Kingdom will be the world’s biggest hydrocarbon producer “even” in 2050.“I can assure that Saudi Arabia will not only be the last producer, but Saudi Arabia will produce every molecule of hydrocarbon and it will put it to good use … It will be done in the most environmentally sound and s...Read More
As third quarter trading kicks off following a tumultuous first half of the year, investors are hoping for an auspicious July.Both stocks and precious metals posted impressive advances in the second quarter. The S&P 500 finished the April-June period with a gain of nearly 20%, its best quarterly performance since 1998. The Dow Jones Industrials, meanwhile, posted its best quarter since 1987.It...Read More
Gold just closed the month and quarter and itsperformance on the final day of both was very encouraging for the bulls. What’sgoing on and what changed?Let’s start with the big picture. Gold just moved to the November 2011 high and intoday’s pre-market trading it even moved above it. The volume on which goldmoved up last month was relatively small, which doesn’t support the...Read More
Some gold bulls have bought in heavily to the argument that gold price suppression has been an ongoing activity for years, even decades. Supposedly, trading in the gold market is manipulated in ways that depress the market price for gold.Assertions are made that the manipulation takes place in a shroud of secrecy; and the unexpected lower prices for gold, or prices that don’t meet wildly bul...Read More
Formulating a Trend ForecastIt is clear that Silver is NOT Gold, so NOT to make the mistake of looking at what Gold has done and thinking Silver will replicate that move, it rarely does! At best Silver tends to play catchup towards the end of precious metals bull trends.Silver is in a strong bull trend off the March low that is targeting resistance at $19 and then $20, beyond which lies $21. The b...Read More
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts his expectations for how silver prices will respond to movement in the stock market.Much of what is written in the parallel Gold Market update is equally applicable to silver and it will not be repeated here. Although silver has picked up significantly since its March low it has greatly underperformed gold over the past two years. But this is normal during the...Read More