Import prices for flat-rolled steel in South America increased once again through the week to Friday August 21, to the levels seen before the Covid-19 pandemic, with October-shipment negotiations with all supplying regions being concluded at higher levels.There were reports of some deals to meet residual needs for October shipments during the period, and customers - particularly those on the Pacif...Read More
Key data from the pricing sessions in Europe, Asia and the United States for the week ended Friday August 21.China Seaborne manganese ore prices slipped after sentiment was undermined by weakening domestic portside ore and spot alloy markets. Portside ore prices fell after traders lowered their offer prices to attract buying interest. Many alloy smelters, however, retreated from the market over th...Read More
Trading activity in the CIS export market for steel billet was limited in the week ended Friday August 21, with both sides assessing the situation. Some activity was reported in Asia, while customers in markets nearer to the CIS took a wait-and-see stance.Mills selling from the Black Sea basin were not actively offering material, and kept their official indications within the range of $400-410 per...Read More
Plans for a London Metal Exchange spot trading platform have sparked intense debate within the aluminium industry. But opponents and supporters don't necessarily fall into the camps that one might expect. For starters, a decision by the LME not to change its futures contract, establish a new green aluminium contract or set thresholds to define what constitutes low-carbon metal is proving key in st...Read More
Sometimes it is better to let a situation speak for itself. Alcoa, Rio Tinto Aluminium, Novelis, Constellium, Arconic, Kaiser Aluminum, Tri-Arrows Aluminum, American Metal Chemical Corp, Hydro Extrusion North America, JW Aluminum, Real Alloy, Reynolds Consumer Products, Scepter, Silberline Manufacturing Co, Smelter Service Corp and Wagstaff. The US Aluminum Association, which represents more than...Read More
The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More
Fastmarkets copper concentrate treatment and refining charge (TC/RC) index continues to set new lows and has done for three weeks in a row. Major Chinese smelters are well-stocked for the third quarter, with Collahuasi, Cerro Verde and some clean brands reported being bought in the high $40s, Fastmarkets heard. Traders' buying levels are heard to be in a range of high $30s to low $40s,...Read More
Seaborne premium hard coking coal prices edged up on Friday August 21, with ex-China demand picking up, sources said.Fastmarkets indicesPremium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $104.71 per tonne, up $0.54 per tonne Premium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $114.63 per tonne, up $0.03 per tonneHard coking coal, fob DBCT: $85.19 per tonne, up $0.17 per tonneHard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $98.29 per tonne,...Read More
Three-month base metals prices on the London Metal Exchange were mostly down during morning trading on Friday August 21 after the release of key purchasing managers' index (PMI) data out of Europe disappointed, while copper futures took the brunt of the decline over the morning in a 1.2% drop. Copper's outright price on the LME was recently seen at $6,535 per tonne, slipping below nearby resistanc...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view. We also review our price forecasting accuracy for the second quarter 2020.Q2 2020 price forecast performance review According to the results of Fastmarkets' Apex for the second quarter of 2020 published this week, Fastmarkets' base metals research team was the second most accurate price forecaster for nickel (99.06%), lead...Read More
Right now, we may be nearing another buying opportunity...Patrick Kim interviewed on Palisade RadioTom welcomes Patrick Karim back to the show to discuss his latest charts that focus on silver and gold. Patrick is a proprietary capital manager and chart trader.Patrick discusses various historic technical patterns and how they may repeat in his coming bull market. He expects $2300 gold within a cou...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Comfortable consolidationAluminium appears comfortable consolidating for the moment, and this will leave prices in a stronger position to challenge overhanging long-term trend-line resistance from the May 2018 high, which stands at $1,670 per tonne currently.Copper: Consolidation unlikely to lastCopper reached its...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Upside breakout last weekThe price of aluminium on the London Metal Exchange surprised us with a break to the upside in the week ended July 10, when prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange raced to three-and-a-half-year highs. While we think there is more short-term upside potential if technical and liquidity fact...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Capped by oversupplyA lack of a meaningful supply adjustment to the Covid-19 demand hit is keeping the aluminium physical market oversupplied and weighing on prices, limiting the success of more buoyant macro and technical forces on prices. Our premium forecasts are under review in light of threats from the U...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.US market at risk of slidingPrices for pipe products were at a floor in the United States in mid-August, and have been broadly stable at that level since the start of the second quarter, but they are at risk of declining further in the coming months.Drilling rig counts have yet to find a floor and have fallen below most esti...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key North American steel forecast highlights:US domestic prices for hot-rolled coil moved down in line with our expectations, averaging $461 per ton in July versus our forecast price of $460 per ton. Although domestic HRC prices slipped to less than $450 per ton in late July/early August, we maintain the view th...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.?EUR? US domestic prices for hot-rolled coil have moved down in line with our expectations, averaging $508 per tonne in July compared with our forecast price of $519 per tonne. While we are forecasting coil price increases in August, we have revised our expectations downward. Although steelmakers are reporting improving dema...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.The price for steel scrap in China has risen recently, amid high mill operating rates and at a time of heavy rain, but it remains at a premium to hot metal, we estimate. Heavy rains in China tend to increase the moisture content of iron ore stockpiles, which can cause issues during the sintering process, and this may have en...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloy forecast highlights:Numerous ore and alloy markets enjoyed upward pricing momentum in the first half 2020, with supply-side constraints supporting prices despite collapsing demand from steelmakers and other key end users. While supply side issues related to Covid-19 lockdowns have been resolved,...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In previous reports, we noted that upside risks to our forecasts existed. These were based on Chinese steel production, and in turn alloy consumption, outperforming our expectations.Chinese crude steel production is rising each month in a year-on-year comparison, prompting our revised view that Chinese alloy consumption will...Read More