How long it will take the global economy to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic is anyone's guess right now.Could the world's major economic regions be in for an "LUV" recovery similar to the one they saw after the global financial crisis of 2008-09?That was the format of recovery that was expected in 2009 by former Rio Tinto chief executive officer Tom Albanese, who was at the helm of the mining g...Read More

The Covid-19 pandemic is likely to lead to another casualty: the mega mine. The volatility created by crises like Covid-19 is adding a layer of uncertainty to the development of large-scale projects that take a decade or more to progress and are highly capital intensive, according to Tom Albanese, the former chief executive officer of Rio Tinto.This means that mining projects are likely to be deve...Read More

Alcoa Corp has called on the aluminium industry to assess the cost effectiveness of its smelting capacity and make cuts where appropriate - or face a ratcheting up of inventories and a protracted period of low prices. Roy Harvey, the US producer's chief executive officer, said that while curtailments were costly, both financially and in terms of job losses, they were more than necessary at this mo...Read More

The recent volatility inmost markets was really extreme, which means that it was easy to lose focus onthe things that matter the most in case of the gold market. It was relativelyeasy to keep one’s focus as far as the fundamental outlook for gold isconcerned – it’s quite obvious that the economies around the world are in deeptrouble and that the various QEs and money-printing mec...Read More

What it cannot do is cure the virus.  What it could do, however, according to a good many analysts, is act as an effective hedge against its economic consequences. Since the beginning of the year through April, the metal was up 11.73% during probably the worst period in economic history since the 1930s Great Depression. Below we chronicle what top experts have to say about gold in the year of...Read More

Tonight I would like to focus in on silver which remains one of the best bargains in the PM complex right now. When I first became acquainted with the PM complex back in early 2002 I learned quickly that just because gold may have had a good rally sometimes the PM stocks move very little which was confusing to me as I thought they should move in tandem. Then there were other times when the PM stoc...Read More

For many years now, metals traders and enthusiasts have been patiently waiting for the move in Silver that we feel its eventually going to happen.  There is almost a ritual process in the metals market that takes place when a crisis happens.  We’ve written about this in a past article and we’ve highlighted how we believe Silver is one of the absolute best opportunities if/onc...Read More

The battle between Elliott waves and supply/demand forecasting approach continues In case you just landed on Earth via Martian spaceship, 2020 has seen the biggest crash in oil prices ever.This chart captures crude's three-month, 80%-plus nosedive to 3-decade lows. (Price data as of May 1, 2020 and does not reflect the unprecedented April 20 plunge into negative territory at -$40.32. Yes, minus $...Read More

$2,000, $5,000 or even the Jim Rickard’s $50,000 as the next target for gold. How realistic are these figures – could we see the yellow metal at $5,000 or even higher amid the coronavirus crisis? We invite you thus to read our today’s article and find out how high gold prices can go in this downturn. The first quarter of 2020 was clearly positive for the gold market, as the chart...Read More

Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and similar products account for a significant part of the gold market, with institutional and individual investors using them to implement many of their investment strategies without considering the true risk associated with many aspects of holding non-tangible assets. Gold ETFs are units representing physical gold in paper or dematerialized form, which is...Read More

The stock market has had a great run duringthe last decade. It has made some people a good stack of money.However, the March crash has many wonderingwhat it will do next. Will it continue to crash, or will it continue the bullmarket?Is it really worth spending time and effortcontemplating its next move? I think not.The market is currently presenting a greatopportunity to lock in those stock market...Read More

Half the US States and countries like Italy and Germany are gradually easing lockdowns. Taking measured steps, the moves are broadly cheered. Rightfully so? And what does the reopening mean for the gold market?Epidemics: Bad, Good, and UglyBy May 6, 2020, more than total 3.6 million of confirmed cases have been reported in the world and more than 250,000 have already died from the COVID-19. In the...Read More

Both Gold and Silver Futures have been struggling to rallyabove recent high levels since the start of the global stock market collapserelated to the COVID-19 virus event. Yet, the Junior Gold Miners appear to be telling us the Precious Metalsmarket is boiling hot.Gold, the bell-weather safe-haven asset, initially collapsedwhen the US stock market started the massive selloff in late February 2...Read More

Most resource sector writers (including me) have for a long timebeen "wrong" about gold and silver. When they ran from $250 and $5 an ounce, respectively, to $1,920and $49 in 2011, those who listened, acted, and sold a bit did quite well. Weargued the "longer time bullish case" as these metals dropped intotheir final cyclical bear market graves in late 2015.But that was then&he...Read More

Light Crude oil prices have dropped an alarming 68 percent since the start of 2020. Brent prices are down 60 percent over the last four months. But recent price action appears to show that the worst of oil's decline is likely over.As the world economies are still being mauled by the effects of COVID-19, there are growing signs that oil prices are starting to recover. Light Crude oil prices have s...Read More

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Early signs of post-lockdown demand recoveryWith major economies outside China reopening after the easing of their Covid-19-related restrictions on movement and industrial activity, last week's jump in the number of cancelled aluminium warrants on the London Metal Exchange may be an early sign that the post-lockdo...Read More

Overnight, Natural Gas broke above the $2.00 price level as we expected.  On April 6, 2020, we published our research that Natural Gas was setting up a bottom pattern and that our seasonal analysis suggested April and May should prompt a price rally in Natural Gas pushing price levels above $2.40. The current rally has broken above a price resistance levelnear $2.00 and the rally up to $...Read More

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: 'Sell the rally' mentality here to stayAlthough the London Metal Exchange aluminium price has managed to recover modestly from recent lows, we suspect this is mostly short-covering. The lack of producer restraint, growing exchange inventories, a weak demand outlook and the 7 million tonnes of oversupply forecast f...Read More

Bob Moriarty of 321gold discusses economic collapse and gold.I like to read. I read fast and that helps. I can't quite come to grips with all these guys now coming out with 25-minute videos they insist we watch instead of reading. Do they really believe that everyone has so much free time that they can pay attention to someone chattering away for 25 minutes?Most of what you read or watch will be n...Read More

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: 4-million-tonne surplus for 2020We have made further downward revisions to our aluminium demand expectations for 2020 and, although there have been smelter capacity reduction in China too, the net effect is that our forecast for the global surplus this year has swelled to 4 million tonnes, from 2.7 million tonnes...Read More