Our trading team witnessed a big drop in Platinum and Palladium prices early this morning while Gold and Silver continued to push moderately higher. We began to question this move and investigate any historical relevance to previous patterns. Our research team pointed out that both Platinum and Palladium rolled lower just 3 to 4 days before the breakdown in the US stock markets on Febr...Read More
The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More
Yesterday’s session was indeed volatile around theFOMC, just like we warned,and gold even moved to its previous high, likely forming a double-top pattern.Even though gold moved higher on an intraday basis, it didn’t invalidate itsprevious breakdown, which was a bearish sign. Gold was likely to decline, andit is declining so far in today’s pre-market trading. The above chart show...Read More
It is said that a picture is worth 1000words, and thus two pictures are worth 2000 words. The entire financial systemis fracturing and imploding, no exaggeration. The entire monetary system is beingundermined in a true Weimar sense, in reality. Such a situation almost neverhas come about without a world war. Since 2001 in the Jackass opinion, theworld financial war has been in progress with the im...Read More
Joshua Olmsted, currently senior vice president, will take the role of president and chief operating officer for the Americas region at Freeport-McMoRan on September 1 this year, when Harry Conger retires, the company said on Friday August 7. Working for Freeport for 28 years, Olmsted has been senior vice president for the North American copper division since late 2015. He previously took manageri...Read More
The following is an update of a previousarticle: During the 2008 financial crisis the Fedsignificantly increased the US monetary base to keep the system from collapse.They are currently in a similar situation, and have done (is doing) the exactsame thing.Here is a chart of the US monetary base toillustrate the similarity: With the 2008 actions they were able to avoidthe collapse until now. Will th...Read More
Last week, I put out an article outlining my expectation for a pullback in GLD before we head to the 200+ region. Within the comments section, I outlined my plan as to how I am going to play for a potential pullback. However, that pullback has not yet materialized.For those that have followed me closely for years, you know that I have been heavily long physical metals and mining stocks since I sta...Read More
Technical analyst Clive Maund charts oil and discusses what he sees ahead for the commodity. Compared to the wild volatility that we witnessed back in the spring, trading in oil has become very light and subdued, with volatility in it dropping to a very low level, and as a result many traders are losing interest in it. It is quiet—too quiet—and complacency towards it is now rife, but a...Read More
Gold has jumped above $1,850 amid expectations of new stimulus, worries about the pace of economic recovery, and concerns about rising tensions between the U.S. and China. Houston, we have a problem! Please take a look at the chart below that presents the U.S. initial jobless claims. What do you see? Yes, you are right! The number of people claiming unemployment benefits has recently risen. To be...Read More
With silver breaking out decisively to the upside, bears are running for cover.We had noted in our July 13th News Alert, “We are paying especially close attention to the bull vs. bear tug-of-war in the silver market around $19/oz. If the bulls yank prices decisively above that level on a strong close, short covering by capitulating bears could help drive a powerful breakout rally.”That...Read More
The gold price made a new all-time nominal high today at $1,945 per ounce. This move should not come as a surprise to anyone paying attention to the current financial landscape. The FED has injected an unprecedented amount of new money/debt into the economy since March in efforts to avoid a collapse from the impact of the Covid-19 virus and subsequent restrictions of business activity globally. Ov...Read More
As shown in the graph below, the firsthalf of 2020 produced an unusual change in the relationship between goldprices, stock prices and recessions, something that has only happened twicebefore in the last fifty years. Each of the two previous times this hasoccurred after a long run up in stock prices, it has been part of acyclical change to a cycle favoring gold over stocks for a decade or morether...Read More
The three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange was the laggard at the close of trading on Friday August 7, with news of planned restarts at several of Chilean producer Codelco's operating facilities suppressing buying momentum.Meanwhile, lead futures declined by more than 2% but stayed above nearby support levels into the close.Copper's outright price on the LME closed at $6,308 per ton...Read More
Iron ore prices decreased on Friday August 7, with China's strong iron ore imports data for July potentially easing the uptrend and bullish sentiment, resulting in a correction in prices, sources said.Fastmarkets iron ore indices 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $119.21 per tonne, down $2.06 per tonne62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $119.16 per tonne, down $2.02 per tonne58% Fe fines high-grade pr...Read More
Seaborne premium hard coking coal prices went down slightly on Friday August 7 following the latest transactions, while market participants analyzed the possible reasons for the price decrease, Fastmarkets heard.Fastmarkets indicesPremium hard coking coal, fob DBCT: $104.56 per tonne, down $1.35 per tonne Premium hard coking coal, cfr Jingtang: $115.88 per tonne, down $0.50 per tonneHard coking co...Read More
During the bull market years between 2000 and 2011 the US dollar and currencies played a key role in the PM complex bull market. Tonight I would like to go back and visit some of these old charts and see how they pertain to our current bull market.Lets start with a simple GOLD:USD ratio chart that goes back to the 2011 all time high in gold. The bottom for the ratio came in toward the end of 2015...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view. We also review our price forecasting accuracy for the second quarter 2020.Q2 2020 price forecast performance review According to the results of Fastmarkets' Apex for the second quarter of 2020 published this week, Fastmarkets' base metals research team was the second most accurate price forecaster for nickel (99.06%), lead...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Comfortable consolidationAluminium appears comfortable consolidating for the moment, and this will leave prices in a stronger position to challenge overhanging long-term trend-line resistance from the May 2018 high, which stands at $1,670 per tonne currently.Copper: Consolidation unlikely to lastCopper reached its...Read More
The move we saw in Silver early this week to new 6-year high price levels, above $22.60, is quite likely the biggest upside move in Silver since the bottom in March 2020 – after the US stock market collapsed because of the COVID-19 virus event. This new rally in Silver is likely the move we’ve been suggesting to our followers relating to a series of measured upside price moves totaling...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Upside breakout last weekThe price of aluminium on the London Metal Exchange surprised us with a break to the upside in the week ended July 10, when prices on the Shanghai Futures Exchange raced to three-and-a-half-year highs. While we think there is more short-term upside potential if technical and liquidity fact...Read More