As shown in the graph below, the firsthalf of 2020 produced an unusual change in the relationship between goldprices, stock prices and recessions, something that has only happened twicebefore in the last fifty years. Each of the two previous times this hasoccurred after a long run up in stock prices, it has been part of acyclical change to a cycle favoring gold over stocks for a decade or morether...Read More
Brazilian steelmaker Companhia Sider??rgica Nacional (CSN) expects to increase its iron ore production from the third quarter, after transportation issues reduced output in the first six months of the year, the company's chief financial officer, Marcelo Ribeiro, said on Wednesday July 29.Own output and third-party purchases are estimated to be near the 10-million-tonne quarterly level during the s...Read More
During the bull market years between 2000 and 2011 the US dollar and currencies played a key role in the PM complex bull market. Tonight I would like to go back and visit some of these old charts and see how they pertain to our current bull market.Lets start with a simple GOLD:USD ratio chart that goes back to the 2011 all time high in gold. The bottom for the ratio came in toward the end of 2015...Read More
The Technical Secretariat of Anti-Dumping (TSAIP) of the Gulf Co-operation Countries (GCC) has announced its preliminary determination in its steel safeguarding case, the World Trade Organization said on July 23.According to the preliminary results, GCC countries decided that the import of steel products under investigation had increased significantly to the region, which was causing serious harm...Read More
The move we saw in Silver early this week to new 6-year high price levels, above $22.60, is quite likely the biggest upside move in Silver since the bottom in March 2020 – after the US stock market collapsed because of the COVID-19 virus event. This new rally in Silver is likely the move we’ve been suggesting to our followers relating to a series of measured upside price moves totaling...Read More
We tend to spend a lot of timelooking into the rearview mirror, especially when under duress.Connected to this is somethingpsychologists call "recency bias." This simply means that what hashappened in the near to intermediate past tends to inform and influence us asto how we should behave in the future.The 2011 to early 2019 precious metals bear saga was broken only by a six-month bullhi...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Wednesday July 29 that are worth another look.The United States Department of Commerce has launched anti-dumping (AD) and countervailing duty (CVD) investigations - some alleging triple-digit margins - into seamless standard, line and pressure pipe imports from four...Read More
European leaders stroke a historic deal that could be a game-changer and provide a support for the euro and gold against the U.S. dollar.Historic deal. Pivotal moment for Europe. On Monday, the EU leaders agreed on a massive economic stimulus plan, after a long and crotchety summit. If passed through the European Parliament and ratified by all EU states, the European Commission could borrow 750 bi...Read More
An overview of the minor metals markets and the reasons for any price moves.Read More
Brazilian steelmaker Companhia Sider??rgica Nacional (CSN) expects to increase its iron ore production from the third quarter, after transportation issues reduced output in the first six months of the year, the company's chief financial officer, Marcelo Ribeiro, said on Wednesday July 29.Own output and third-party purchases are estimated to be near the 10-million-tonne quarterly level during the s...Read More
(Denver, Colorado - July 29, 2020) GoldSeek.com is pleased to announce that it will be launching its new website in the coming days. This will be the third major revision to the GoldSeek website over the past 25-years.In the next version of GoldSeek.com, we are excited to announce the following features:Live Gold Prices - streaming live gold prices & charts Mobile Friendly - smartphone &...Read More
Hubert MoolmanThe following is an update of a previous article:During the 2008 financial crisis the Fed significantly increased the US monetary base to keep the system from collapse. They are currently in a similar situation, and have done (is doing) the exact same thing.Here is a chart of the US monetary base to illustrate the similarity: With the 2008 actions they were able to avoid the colla...Read More
The U.S. Mint made an unusual request last week. In a press release dated July 23, the bureau literally begged Americans to start putting coins back into circulation by spending or depositing them.As you may have noticed, people just aren't making transactions with coinage like they used to. That's especially the case now in the age of the coronavirus. With many people sheltering-in-place, bil...Read More
Silver has made impressive gains over the past week which resulted from its breaking out at last from the giant Double Bottom base pattern that started to form as far back as 2013, so it's been a long wait for silver investors for this to happen. Over the past week it has done exactly as predicted in the "breakout Souvenir article" posted on the site on the 22nd, running quickly at the strong re...Read More
By Avi GilburtLast week, I put out an article outlining my expectation for a pullback in GLD before we head to the 200+ region. Within the comments section, I outlined my plan as to how I am going to play for a potential pullback. However, that pullback has not yet materialized.For those that have followed me closely for years, you know that I have been heavily long physical metals and mining s...Read More
Due to measures taking by the West Point Mint to protect workers from the virus, the production of gold and silver coins will be reduced over the next 12-18 months. By enacting these worker policy changes, the U.S. Mint will not be able to produce gold and silver bullion coins at the same time. Thus, if demand continues to be strong for Gold and Silver Eagles, we could see higher premiums...Read More
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:Appended is tomorrow's editorial in the Financial Times, which, taking note of gold's sharp rise in price, begins with a factual error, goes on to sulk for six paragraphs, and concludes with the hope and expectation that gold will go back in the dumpster eventually.The error beginning the editorial is the assertion that gold doesn't pay interest. Gold doesn't automa...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold has spent 6 days in a row over the upper Bollinger band, this is unheard of. I have seen a 7 day before, this is a sign of great strength! Gold has 18DMA at 1836+ area and rising quickly. Silver had an amazing move. I would be very careful, $4-range in one day! I appreciate your bravery, but I just don't have it. I would avoid leverage futures here:Read More
Gold and silver are firm before the FOMC. There is expectation that Federal Reserve will reiterate of easy monetary policy for a very long time. Federal Reserve and most central banks will tolerate higher inflation for the rest of the year and next year. This is one of the reason why gold and silver prices are rising. I have been saying for quite a while that global economic growth in the third...Read More
Global tin premiums were flat in the week ended Tuesday July 28, with a rising three-month tin price on the London Metal Exchange and tightening forward spreads being the key deterrents to spot business, while a closed arbitrage window and lack of spot liquidity meant that deals remained rare.US premium holds steady on lack of tradesClosed arbitrage window for most of the past two weeks limits buy...Read More