"Hope and fear look different on a chart"Recently in these pages, we noted that bull markets in stocks tend to end with "a subtly slowing ascent" rather than with a final "spike" higher, as many investors believe. Historical examples were provided.It was also pointed out that, by contrast, commodities do tend to end major uptrends with a price spike.The Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Princ...Read More
The majority of South American import prices for flat-rolled steel went up during the week to Friday July 24 with new offers getting more expensive and lower bids from customers being rejected.Importers, on the other hand, were increasingly looking elsewhere for their steel product needs, because their tentative buying prices were not accepted. Market participants were reporting more deals for Bra...Read More
You may have heard that gold typically rallies seasonally from themiddle of the year. This trend is driven by jewelry demand, which increasesahead of the Christmas business, the Indian wedding season and the Chinese NewYear celebrations on the back of advance purchases by jewelers, which tend to putupward pressure on prices. But what about the seasonal trend in gold stocks? Since the earnings ofgo...Read More
Gold COT Report - FuturesLarge SpeculatorsCommercialTotalLongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort334,23767,80171,987129,690433,549535,914573,337Change from Prior Reporting Period 4,0322412,3913,7815,62220,20418,037Traders23067895771322198 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 67,22429,801603,138 2,7594,92622,963 non reportable positionsChange from the previous reporting p...Read More
Brazilian export prices for steel slab increased in the week ended Friday July 24, because demand was recovering amid tight material availability.Fastmarkets' weekly price assessment for steel slab, export, fob main port Brazil, was $380-390 per tonne on Friday, an increase of $5-10 per tonne from $375-380 per tonne in the previous week.Signs of a demand revival have appeared in...Read More
Gold prices surged over $1,900 an ounce on Friday morning -- up over 5% for the week.Gold could hit a new record high as early as today. However, it wouldn't necessarily be a bad thing if the market first pulled back a bit and established a base for its launch to $2,000 and above.https://silverseek.com/article/gold-hitting-all-time-highs-wow-look-silverRead More
We tend to spend a lot of time looking into the rearview mirror, especially when under duress.Connected to this is something psychologists call "recency bias." This simply means that what has happened in the near to intermediate past tends to inform and influence us as to how we should behave in the future.https://silverseek.com/article/gold-and-silver-markets-have-changed-what-about-youRead More
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:London metals trader Andrew Maguire, interviewed this week by the TF Metals Report's Craig Hemke for Sprott Money, says the London Metal Exchange soon will offer a gold contract much more closely tied to physical delivery than competing contracts, putting heavy pressure on the "paper gold" system.Maguire also says:-- The gold/silver ratio will reduce to 63-1 and then...Read More
By: Ira EpsteinGold's 18-dma moving up nicely, a very hard break higher. Read More
Momentum is very bullish for gold and silver. Look for signs of weekly profit taking. If gold and silver do not see any weekly profit taking then chances of $1934.40 and $2425 will be very high today. Federal Reserve is Protecting the American brokers by broadened access to three of its lending facilities designed to provide a credit backstop to firms hurt in the coronavirus crisis, allowing bro...Read More
Gold and silver markets advanced early thisweek, with silver leading the way. OnThursday, the metals sold off a bit as the U.S. dollar gained.The major trend for the dollar, however, isdown. The Dollar Index has been grinding lower since mid March, when it put ina spike high. Silver finally broke through $19 level with astrong close above it on Monday. Therehasn’t yet been...Read More
It’s official now! On June 8, the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research stated that economic activity in the United States had peaked in February 2020 (and in Q4 2019, when it comes to the peak in quarterly economic activity), marking the start of a recession. The peak also designates the end of the expansion that began in June 2009 and lasted 128 months...Read More
The manganese ore index 37% Mn, cif Tianjin, has soared and slumped since March, with South African supply initially tightening and then ramping back up after restrictions were lifted.Read More
Summerdoldrums? Not for precious metals markets!Inearly July, gold and silver eachbroke out to fresh multi-year highs. The yellow metal is within strikingdistance of new all-time highs and the headline worthy figure of $2,000/oz.Thewhite metal, meanwhile, has a lot of catching up to do. And as it does, thegains in percentage terms could be explosive.Silver has already packed on 60% since its March...Read More
Silver investmentdemand is exploding in recent months, skyrocketing higher inwildly-unprecedented fashion! That has catapultedsilver sharply higher since mid-March’s COVID-19-lockdown stock panic. Accelerating even in this usually-weak summerseason, the massive capital inflows deluging into silver show no signs ofabating. This is very bullish for silver,yet most traders rem...Read More
Turkish prices in the domestic market for hot-dipped galvanized coil (HDG) and color-coated coil increased in the week to Friday July 24, supported by higher feedstock prices, sources have told Fastmarkets.Fastmarkets' weekly price assessment for steel HDG, domestic, exw Turkey, was $610-625 per tonne on July 24, up by $5-15 per tonne over the week from $605-610 per tonne on July 17.And Fastmarket...Read More
The number of cases of Covid-19 in the U.S. have been rallying very quickly in last weeks, giving way only to the gold prices, which have surpassed $1,800. It’s not easy to terminate the viruses, especially that they are not quite alive. Indeed, the pandemic of the coronavirus is still not over, as the chart below shows. The global number of daily confirmed Covid-19 cases has surpassed 220,0...Read More
The next few weeks are certain to attract much attention to precious metals. Hardly anyone can argue that Gold has not experienced an incredible upside price rally over the last 12+ months. Recently, Gold closed above $1800 for the first time since 2011. Our researchers believe the next target is $1935. Keep reading to learn why we believe this is the next major price targe...Read More
Previously, I have shown how there were virtually no significant Silverrallies over the last 50 years during a period when the US Dollar index hasbeen rising.Betting on a silver rally when the US Dollarindex is in decline makes for great odds. There have been two significantSilver rallies in the last 50 years (marked out with rectangles on the chartbelow). During both of these, the US dollar...Read More
The US economy is nowherenear recovering from the lockdown measures imposed by cities and states duringthe covid-19 pandemic, and that is weighing on the US dollar, which has fallensharply since March. The beneficiary, asexpected, has been gold (and silver), which normally moves in the oppositedirection as the greenback. Year to date, spot gold has risen 16% to $1,811/oz,while the US Dollar I...Read More