Forget gold and silver for a moment.Do you hear the music? Yes, it’s coming from the mining ETFs club. But how longwill the party last?And more importantly, why miners, you mayask? Because miners tend to outperform in the early days of a major rally.Afterclosing only $0.10 below myinitial downside target of $31 on Mar. 1 , the GDX ETF could be ripe for an upward revision. Able to ignore much...Read More
Stocks sharply reversed intraday, and closed just wherethey opened the prior Friday. That indicates quite some pressures, quite somesearching for direction in this correction that isn‘t over just yet. Stockshave had a great run over the past 4 months, getting a bit ahead of themselvesin some aspects such as valuations. Then, grappling with the rising long-termrates did strike. So did inflati...Read More
Oat futures' recent surge to 7-year highs wasn't caused by the oat milk craze; think "market psychology" instead Generally speaking, the idea of oats is about as exciting as, well, a bowl of steel cut oatmeal. But this chart of oat futures shows why this ordinarily ordinary grain has stolen the commodity spotlight. For starters, February 2021 saw oat prices soar to their highest level in 7 years....Read More
During the 1970's, the U.S. experienced adecade of below-trend economic growth combined with rising interest rates – andeventually – massively higher gold and silver prices.Some sectors boomed while others lagged,and then as now, the majority of the population struggled with rising home andcommodity prices, bookmarked by lofty interest rates.This stilted and challenging environmen...Read More
As you well know the PM complex has been trading at a very important inflection point for the last month or so looking for the next important move either up or down. I can make a case today for either direction but the Chartology is strongly suggesting the next important move is going to be to the downside. In the very short term, days to maybe a week or so we could see some backtesting to many im...Read More
As financial markets sold off this week, preciousmetals got dragged down in the selling. The culprit, once again, was risingbond yields.On Thursday, the 10-year Treasury climbed above 1.5%. While still low on ahistorical range, the upside momentum has investors concerned. Over the pastseven months, the 10-year yield has tripled from a low of just 52 basis points. The 10-year note serves as a bench...Read More
Chinese market participants expect steel output to stay high in March amid a profit recovery, even after the government ordered mills in Tangshan to cut production for environmental protection, Fastmarkets heard.On March 11, Huang Runqiu, minister of ecology and environment, visited four mills in Tangshan - the steelmaking hub in northern China - and found all of them had been running at high oper...Read More
Several factors influence gold prices (mainly the US dollar, gold ETF inflows/ outflows, inflation rate, bond yields, safe haven demand, physical gold demand, gold supply) but none is more reliable than real interest rates.The demand for gold moves inversely to interest rates — the higher the rate of interest, the lower the demand for gold, the lower the rate of interest the higher the deman...Read More
Gold has suffered unrelentingselling in the last couple months, hammering it and its miners’ stocks muchlower. Those outsized anomalous losseshave left sentiment in tatters, with overpowering bearishness universal. Gold’s thrashing had nothing to do withfundamentals, it was driven by cascading momentum selling in gold futures andgold-ETF shares. But such dumping isfin...Read More
Zinc's futures price showed the biggest fall among the base-metals complex at the close of trading on the London Metal Exchange on Thursday March 18, with consolidation in the complex continuing, while tin's price edged close to the $26,000 per tonne mark.Zinc was trading at $2,792 per tonne at the 5pm close on Thursday after being above the $2,800 per tonne mark for the past week. Its closing pri...Read More
Meanwhile, eyes are fixed on interest rates for US Treasury bonds. During the same six-month period (August 2020 – February 2021) during which the price of gold fell by seventeen percent, the price of the 20-year US Treasury bond fell by twenty percent. That IS a huge deal, as it corresponds to sharply higher interest rates from less than 1% last August to as high as 2.26% just the other day...Read More
Iron ore prices increased slightly on Thursday March 18, after China announced that the emissions restrictions being imposed in Tangshan will be less strict than previously anticipated, sources said.Fastmarkets iron ore indices 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $166.62 per tonne, up $0.43 per tonne62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $166.98 per tonne, up $0.71 per tonne58% Fe fines high-grade premium,...Read More
Folks, it seems that gold has formedan interim bottom, and a short-term corrective upswing is now likely, beforethe medium-term downtrend resumes.Any further declines from this point arenot likely to be significant for the short-term. The same applies to silver andthe miners.In yesterday’s(Mar. 4) intraday Gold & Silver Trading Alert , I describedbriefly why I think that the very short-t...Read More
The current retail investor silver squeeze movement has a significant effect on supplies, and more importantly...Keith Neumeyer on Palisades Gold RadioTo subscribe to our newsletter and get notified of new shows, please visit http://palisadesradio.ca?EUR
One of our readers’ favorite tools is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system. This tool maps out technical and price patterns into an array of similar setups using historical data, then applies that data to current and future price bars. Using the ADL predictive Modeling tool, we can see into the future based on historical technical analysis that maps stat...Read More
Peter Krauth, editor of Gold Resource Investor, delves into gold's recent price movements and discusses whether now is a good time to buy gold and gold stocks. People…relax. It's a correction. If you're a serious gold investor, then I sympathize. If you're freaking out, then this is not for you. If you're anxious, then you need to check your premises. After all, what's changed since gold re...Read More
Can the precious metals move lowerbefore a short-term correction, and after correcting, will they continue theirmedium-term downtrend?Gold & silver reversed yesterday(Mar. 2) and the GDX rallied after bottoming right in my previous target area,but it’s still unclear if the bottom is in.Let’s check what’s happening in thecharts. Figure1 – COMEX Gold Futures (GC.F)In shor...Read More
Zinc's futures price showed the biggest fall among the base-metals complex at the close of trading on the London Metal Exchange on Thursday March 18, with consolidation in the complex continuing, while tin's price edged close to the $26,000 per tonne mark.Zinc was trading at $2,792 per tonne at the 5pm close on Thursday after being above the $2,800 per tonne mark for the past week. Its closing pri...Read More
Diamond market optimistic despite expected seasonal slowdown. Manufacturer liquidity getting boost from reduced inventory, faster turnover and firm prices. Concerns arising about rough market overheating amid reports that Alrosa increased prices for 1 ct. and larger by 4%-5%. Smaller De Beers sight expected next week. India Feb. rough imports flat at $1.5B, Belgium +28% to $877M. Signet Jewelers F...Read More
Turkish steel mills continued to stay out of the deep-sea scrap market on continuing weak demand for steel, despite the increasing availability of supplies, especially from the Baltic Sea, sources told Fastmarkets on Thursday March 18.The most recent deep-sea bookings were done at the end of last week, when two Baltic Sea cargoes were sold at $435-437 per tonne cfr on a heavy melting scrap 1&2 (80...Read More