Precious metals markets are making modest advances inthis final trading week of May. U.S. markets will be closed on Monday inobservance of Memorial Day. During the extended weekend, millions more Americanscompared to last year are expected to hit the roads for travel. They will beconfronted with pain at the pump as gasoline prices have risen to over $3.00per gallon in most parts of the country.Oth...Read More
Bidenomics is a big departure from sound economics. But when reason sleeps, gold fortunes are born.Biden’s triumph in the presidential election does not just mean that a new man lives in the White House. It actually implies a fundamental shift in economic policy . Some analysts even see Biden’s agenda as a decisive break with neoliberalism or “Washington consensus”.You see,...Read More
In Part I of this research article, I tried to highlight the major market cycle phases that often drive volatility, uncertainty, and bigger trends in the US/Global markets as well as Precious Metals. Additionally, my team and I highlighted the technical confluence pattern that has setup as Gold prices have rallied above downward sloping price channels (price Flags) recently. This confl...Read More
The silver miners’ stockshave mostly been consolidating high since last summer. While they’ve enjoyed some sharp rallies,those have been within that sideways-grind trend. That lack of overall upside progress has leftthis tiny contrarian sector out of favor, with apathy reigning. But as their recently-reported Q1’21 operatingand financial results revealed, silver...Read More
Proponents of silver and their expectations for a much higher price have talked for years about the reasons “silver is undervalued” (their words, not mine).Whether it is a deficit in new production of silver or the gold-to-silver ratio, there is always something to talk about; so let’s talk. Below is a chart (source) of silver prices for the past century… Silver Pric...Read More
The gold miners’ stockshave powered higher in recent months, solidifying a strong young upleg. But the extended-correction low leading intothis latest rally has left sector psychology fairly bearish. Traders are skeptical about gold stocks’upside potential, wary of another serious selloff. The gold miners’ just-reported Q1’21operating and financial results...Read More
Junior miners may soon suffer abreakdown of the short-term support line. So, what’s responsible for theirunderperformance of gold and stocks?Today’s technical part of the analysis isgoing to be brief, as I have discussed multiple things this week and mycomments remain up-to-date. There’s not much to add today, and we’ll go overonly one technical chart – the one where...Read More
Gold scored some victories over thepast days, but it’s playing a risky game. One misstep and the yellow metalmight lose the war.Sometimes, a good strategist needs togive up a few battles to eventually win the war. Or, at least, convince theirenemy that they’re defeated while preparing a counterattack. Just the same, achess player may need to sacrifice a piece in order to checkmate a ki...Read More
Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries. Last year, the gold price hit a record high of $2,034/oz, largely due to the fact that investors were piling into bonds as a safe haven against pandemic-related uncertainty. A descending US dollar and negative real rates (when bond yields minus the inflation rate fall below 0%) were also important antecedents. Over the past several weeks...Read More
We recently completed some interesting research related to one of our newest Custom Indexes – the Commodities to Smart Cash Index (C2SC Heat Index) – weighted by the US Dollar and VIX. We’ve been reviewing this new index for months watching it to see how it reacts to various trends in Lumber, Gold, Treasury Yields, the Smart Cash Index, and other weighted values. Rece...Read More
Let’s start by defining hyperinflation… “Hyperinflation is a term to describe rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increases in an economy. While inflation is a measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, hyperinflation is rapidly rising inflation, typically measuring more than 50% per month.” (source)In addition, hyperin...Read More
The GDX and HUI Index are enjoying ablissful moment. With HUI behaving civilly, will the GDX cling to theunrealistic and try to leap to cloud “ten”?With the GDX ETF punching a hole throughits glass ceiling, the seniorminers are now witnessing an environment that’s beyond their wildestdreams: sunshine, clear skies and a utopia that’s eluded them since thebeginning of the New...Read More
Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends. They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”. In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature. My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase ha...Read More
The USD Index let out a roar heardacross all markets. The king of the financial jungle arrived, along with thegreenback’s largest single-day gain.Just as the African landscape sometimesneeds to show the strongest of its inhabitants, so does the less remote butequally ferocious financial environment. This time, the USDX seems to have wonthe fight – its fangs and claws turned out to be t...Read More
As President Joe Biden pushed massive new spendinginitiatives in his address before Congress, investors shrugged off risinginflation risk. They pushed the S&P 500 up to a new record close onThursday.Gold,meanwhile, continues to be capped under the $1,800 level – at least for thetime being. Silver shows a slight weeklygain and trades a little over $26 per ounce. As trading closes ou...Read More
Both metals are subject to the persistent belief that their prices are greatly suppressed. But right now, silver is widely believed to be...by Keith Weiner of Monetary-MetalsThe prices of the metals hit their lows by the end of April. Gold traded for around $1,685, and is now over $1,900. Silver was around $24, and is now over $28. These are big moves (though of course nothing like bitcoin).Both m...Read More
Gold started its decline withoutanyone’s assistance. And when the USDX takes off, that downhill tumble can onlyincrease.The USDX declines and the precious metalssit by idly, twiddling their thumbs. If they had the strength that’s beingtalked about, they should be soaring by now, or getting ready to. So, what’stheir problem?In the previous days, I discussed thesignals coming from...Read More
The Fed left its monetary policy unchanged. However, the lack of any action amid economic recovery is dovish – good news for gold.On Wednesday (Apr. 28), the FOMC has published its newest statement on monetary policy . The statement wasn’t significantly altered. The main change is that the Fed has noticed the progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, and that, in consequence,...Read More
Althoughwe tend to focus more on the fundamentals here at Money Metals, thetechnical indicators can offer important insights. Such as right now.Manytraders, investors, andmomentum players will closely examine the market trend to determine if and whento enter or exit the market.Amarket with a strong technical foundation can launch to dizzying heights, whilea market displaying weak technicals will h...Read More
If you're still waiting to buy physical silver to start a stash, you're now playing financial Russian Roulette... with fourrounds in the cylinder.The chat rooms talk about buying silver andgold when they decline in price. "If silver goesdown to 22, I'm all in!" "When these 'excessive' premiums drop a fewdollars, I'm backing up the truck."1) Emotion and Sentiment Believe it or n...Read More