Gold scored some victories over thepast days, but it’s playing a risky game. One misstep and the yellow metalmight lose the war.Sometimes, a good strategist needs togive up a few battles to eventually win the war. Or, at least, convince theirenemy that they’re defeated while preparing a counterattack. Just the same, achess player may need to sacrifice a piece in order to checkmate a ki...Read More
Gold bugs are closely watching what happens with Treasuries. Last year, the gold price hit a record high of $2,034/oz, largely due to the fact that investors were piling into bonds as a safe haven against pandemic-related uncertainty. A descending US dollar and negative real rates (when bond yields minus the inflation rate fall below 0%) were also important antecedents. Over the past several weeks...Read More
Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Wednesday May 19 that are worth another look.ArcelorMittal has told some customers that it will be adding another ?,?50 ($73) per tonne to its coil product offer prices in Europe this week, sources told Fastmarkets on Wednesday May 19.Tax...Read More
We recently completed some interesting research related to one of our newest Custom Indexes – the Commodities to Smart Cash Index (C2SC Heat Index) – weighted by the US Dollar and VIX. We’ve been reviewing this new index for months watching it to see how it reacts to various trends in Lumber, Gold, Treasury Yields, the Smart Cash Index, and other weighted values. Rece...Read More
Let’s start by defining hyperinflation… “Hyperinflation is a term to describe rapid, excessive, and out-of-control general price increases in an economy. While inflation is a measure of the pace of rising prices for goods and services, hyperinflation is rapidly rising inflation, typically measuring more than 50% per month.” (source)In addition, hyperin...Read More
The GDX and HUI Index are enjoying ablissful moment. With HUI behaving civilly, will the GDX cling to theunrealistic and try to leap to cloud “ten”?With the GDX ETF punching a hole throughits glass ceiling, the seniorminers are now witnessing an environment that’s beyond their wildestdreams: sunshine, clear skies and a utopia that’s eluded them since thebeginning of the New...Read More
Before going into detail regarding my latest research and cycle phases, I want you to think of these cycle phases as Advancing and Declining cycle trends. They act as a “build-up of trend”, then an “unwinding of trend”. In each instance, trends can be either Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral in nature. My research team and I believe a new Bullish Cycle Phase ha...Read More
The USD Index let out a roar heardacross all markets. The king of the financial jungle arrived, along with thegreenback’s largest single-day gain.Just as the African landscape sometimesneeds to show the strongest of its inhabitants, so does the less remote butequally ferocious financial environment. This time, the USDX seems to have wonthe fight – its fangs and claws turned out to be t...Read More
Wayne Wang will join ThyssenKrupp in early June as senior base metal trader, with a focus on physical aluminium, he told Fastmarkets.He will join ThyssenKrupp's Asian desk in Singapore, which is currently led by Kevin Song.Read More
As President Joe Biden pushed massive new spendinginitiatives in his address before Congress, investors shrugged off risinginflation risk. They pushed the S&P 500 up to a new record close onThursday.Gold,meanwhile, continues to be capped under the $1,800 level – at least for thetime being. Silver shows a slight weeklygain and trades a little over $26 per ounce. As trading closes ou...Read More
Gold started its decline withoutanyone’s assistance. And when the USDX takes off, that downhill tumble can onlyincrease.The USDX declines and the precious metalssit by idly, twiddling their thumbs. If they had the strength that’s beingtalked about, they should be soaring by now, or getting ready to. So, what’stheir problem?In the previous days, I discussed thesignals coming from...Read More
The Fed left its monetary policy unchanged. However, the lack of any action amid economic recovery is dovish – good news for gold.On Wednesday (Apr. 28), the FOMC has published its newest statement on monetary policy . The statement wasn’t significantly altered. The main change is that the Fed has noticed the progress on vaccinations and strong policy support, and that, in consequence,...Read More
Althoughwe tend to focus more on the fundamentals here at Money Metals, thetechnical indicators can offer important insights. Such as right now.Manytraders, investors, andmomentum players will closely examine the market trend to determine if and whento enter or exit the market.Amarket with a strong technical foundation can launch to dizzying heights, whilea market displaying weak technicals will h...Read More
The near-term outlook for ferro-silicon looks set to climb higher to a near record-high since Fastmarkets started assessing the price more than 24 years ago due to firm fundamentals, industry sources said.The European spot delivered price is gripped between tight supply and strong demand from steelmakers, while market focus is on expectations of renewed demand from consumers in early June for thei...Read More
If you're still waiting to buy physical silver to start a stash, you're now playing financial Russian Roulette... with fourrounds in the cylinder.The chat rooms talk about buying silver andgold when they decline in price. "If silver goesdown to 22, I'm all in!" "When these 'excessive' premiums drop a fewdollars, I'm backing up the truck."1) Emotion and Sentiment Believe it or n...Read More
Peter Krauth of Silver Stock Investor discusses silver's rise and what may lie ahead.Spot silver is trading around $26 per ounce…but you can't buy any at that price.Instead, you'll have to pay almost 50% more.That's right. If you want silver right now, you'll need to pay at least $35 per ounce.If you prefer government mint coins, and you're willing to wait a month to get them, you'll have t...Read More
Indicators are pointing to gold andmining ETFs running out of breath. They don’t seem to have what it takes to themove to the finish line.Despite gold, silver and mining stocks’recent corrective upswings, the precious metals are running out of steam. Afterbursting off of the lows – while failing to recognize that it’s a marathon andnot a sprint – the precious metals&r...Read More
GOOD NEWS… The rebound in gold prices from their recent low has awakened new fervor among those looking for the elusive moonshot. The ‘obvious’ signs of much higher inflation have emboldened those who are inclined to predict ever higher gold prices.Contrastingly, the chart of GLD prices pictured below doesn’t look all that great… At this point, a further one-...Read More
Base metals prices were down by an average 3.2% on the London Metal Exchange at the close on Wednesday May 19, with fears of inflation continuing to creep into markets given new warnings from China and ahead of the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Markets Committee's latest meeting. Zinc's three-month price dropped by 3.9% to $2,939 per tonne at Wednesday's close, erasing the gains it...Read More
Iron ore prices fell sharply on Wednesday May 19, with low liquidity and sintering restrictions in Tangshan driving the downturn, sources told Fastmarkets.Fastmarkets iron ore indices62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao: $216.16 per tonne, down $8.28 per tonne62% Fe low-alumina fines, cfr Qingdao: $218.79 per tonne, down $8.98 per tonne58% Fe fines high-grade premium, ...Read More