The three-month lead price on the London Metal Exchange was the laggard during morning trading on Monday November 2, largely due to continued strength in the dollar index, while uncertainty over the result of the upcoming US presidential election caused metals prices to consolidate against moderate turnover.The LME lead price was recently trading at $1,789 per tonne, down by 1.2% from Friday's clo...Read More
Gold and silver marketsslumped this week as stimulus talks faltered again in Washington. Even though the White House upped its offer to $1.8trillion, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi refused it – not wanting to give PresidentTrump any kind of political victory ahead of the election. Meanwhile, the President continues to campaign forstimulus. He is bucking Senate Republicans by offering to go even...Read More
An upward stepping GAP pattern for UNG and Natural Gas has our research team believing a strong upside price breakout may be pending. We believe the open gap patterns, which are below the current price levels, represent a building momentum based/bottom that has setup in UNG. This pattern, if we are correct, may prompt a big breakout move in the near future.THREE GAPS PATTERN & MOMENTUM B...Read More
The Copper/Gold ratio is saying something. That something is that a cyclical, pro-inflation and thus pro-economic reflation metal shown earlier, remaining nominally positive on a down market day has, in relation to gold, taken out two important moving averages (daily SMA 50 & SMA 200) and is currently riding the short-term EMA 20 upward. RSI and MACD are positive.Copper: Pro-cyclical inflation...Read More
Inflation is back. OK, not inflation, but inflation expectations. As the chart below shows, they plunged during the coronavirus crisis, but they have already recovered. Currently, and based on the inflation-protected Treasury yields, Mr. Market expects that inflation will be, on average, 1.5 percent in the next five years and 1.7 percent in the next ten years. Meanwhile, the real bond yields have...Read More
CLEAR PRICE CHANNEL MAY PROMPT BIG BREAKOUT OR BREAKDOWN MOVE IN OILIn this report, I discuss the recent price action in crude oil and how economic conditions and the pennant flag chart pattern is indicating a big price move is about to take place over the next few weeks. While some of you may want a clear, bold prediction as to whether a breakout or breakdown may happen, as technical trader...Read More
The Gold price traded to a new all time high to well beyond the $2000 milestone after having held in a trading range at just below $1800 for most of the post corona crash bounce. June saw the gold price further lift it's trading range to $1840 before the fuse was lit and Gold preceded to bust through $1900, and soon above it's previous $1911 all time high, then $2000, finally coming within a whis...Read More
A breakout or breakdown is pending. The key to understanding the potential of this setup is to ask yourself if you believe an increased...by Chris Vermeulen of The Technical TradersHeading into what will likely become one of the biggest events in American political history on November 3, the US stock markets are holding up quite well on Monday, November 2. My team and I have published a number o...Read More
We couldn't even get $22.50 as the gran finale on silver's latest "correction"? Here's why silver looks ready to rally...There are a ton of things happening in the markets and in the economy.We have the Fed's 2-day FOMC with their "announcement" at 2:00 p.m. EST on Thursday, instead of the usual Wednesday, this week.Recall on Friday, I pointed out how disgusting the Fed and its apologists, armchai...Read More
The inflation remains low and below the Fed’s target. So, should gold bulls worry about it?The U.S. CPI inflation rate rose by 0.2 percent in September , following a 0.4 percent increase in August. It was the smallest jump since May. The move was driven by a 6.7- percent spike in the cost of used cars and trucks, and it’s the most significant upward change over half a century. The core...Read More
Peter Krauth explains why he believes investors should hold a position in silver.We're still in the early innings of a precious metals bull market.And if you're wondering whether you need to own some silver, my answer is categorically yes.It's only a matter of degree. With silver that's important because it acts like gold, but on steroids.Silver can languish for extended periods, even if gold move...Read More
With the presidential election less than a month away, sector expert Michael Ballanger offers a forecast for the gold and silver markets.With a mere twenty-six days to the election of the "leader of the free world," of the richest, most powerful country in human history, financial markets are noticeably apprehensive as to outcome and understandably concerned with the reaction of the two deeply div...Read More
Today’s beaten-down USdollar is a major short-term risk for gold. For decades this yellow metal has often inversely mirrored the fortunesof the world’s reserve currency. Dollartrends are important trading cues for highly-leveraged gold-futuresspeculators, who wield outsized influence over gold prices. So an overdue mean-reversion rebound rally eruptingin the US dollar...Read More
Biden widened his lead over Trump,while gold jumped above $1,900 again.According to the most recentReuters/Ipsos poll, Biden has increased his presidential race advantage. Now,as the chart below shows, he leads by 7 percent. I don’t trust in opinion polls. And whyis that you might wonder. It is because they measure the popular vote, whichdoesn’t exactly decide who wins the presidency....Read More
By Justin Spittler : My friend who’s a novice investor asked for advice recently. Hewas “bargain hunting” for cheap stocks, and trying to decide betweenbuying Kohl’s (KSS) or ExxonMobil (XOM).Icringed. “Listen,” I told him. “You’re thinking about this all wrong.”I getwhere my friend is coming from. From childhood we’re taug...Read More
They say that time travels are impossible. But we just went back to the 1960s! At least in the field of the monetary policy. And all because of a new Fed’s framework. So, please fasten your seat belts and come with me into the past and present of monetary policy – to determine the future of gold!At the end of August 2020, the Fed has modified its Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monet...Read More
After nearly three weeks of sideways/downward price action in Gold and Silver, our researchers believe both metals have already set up another breakout/rally attempt after breaching downward resistance (shown as the downward sloping CYAN line). This could be another huge opportunity for precious metals traders as the next move higher should prompt a rally above recent highs. That means a target pr...Read More
The USD/ZAR chart has been a good predictorfor silver rallies. Similar to the US Dollarindex, but a bit more accurate or precise. Very important silverbottoms tend to coincide with tops of the USD/ZAR chart.Below, is a chart of silver as compared withthe USD/ZAR chart, to demonstrates this fact: The 2001 silver bottom(SB) occurred onemonth before the key 2001 USD/ZAR bottom. This was followed by a...Read More
For the last 2 days our internet has been down which really makes you appreciate this miracle invention. We’ve had intermittent problems through the years that no one has been able to figure out until today. The phone company finally came to the conclusion that there was a tiny defect in their phone line that would only show up from time to time which made the problem so hard to track down....Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts is ready to view.While a world leader in many areas, the United States is a relatively small player when it comes to stainless steel. It produces a small amount of material, both in absolute and relative terms (i.e. compared to the size of its population), while a large share of its industry is in the hands of bigger European companies. Never...Read More