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IN CASE YOU MISSED IT: 5 key stories from October 26

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Here are five Fastmarkets stories you might have missed on Monday October 26 that are worth another look.Major iron ore miners are racing to boost their output amid recovering demand and ahead of traditional mid-financial year reporting due by December, market sources told Fastmarkets this week.Uncertainty about next year's aluminium fundamentals and consumer hesitance...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: Now is not the time for M&A, Freeport CEO says

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Now is not the time for Freeport-McMoRan to be thinking about mergers and acquisitions, the mining company's chief executive officer says.According to Richard Adkerson, the company - which is just over half-way through a mega-project to transform its giant Grasberg copper-gold mine in Indonesia from an open-pit to an underground operation - is on the verge of creating huge shareholder value."I jus...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: The unlikely views on the LME spot trading platform

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Plans for a London Metal Exchange spot trading platform have sparked intense debate within the aluminium industry. But opponents and supporters don't necessarily fall into the camps that one might expect. For starters, a decision by the LME not to change its futures contract, establish a new green aluminium contract or set thresholds to define what constitutes low-carbon metal is proving key in st...Read More

HOTTER ON METALS: When the aluminium industry lost to Section 232

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Sometimes it is better to let a situation speak for itself. Alcoa, Rio Tinto Aluminium, Novelis, Constellium, Arconic, Kaiser Aluminum, Tri-Arrows Aluminum, American Metal Chemical Corp, Hydro Extrusion North America, JW Aluminum, Real Alloy, Reynolds Consumer Products, Scepter, Silberline Manufacturing Co, Smelter Service Corp and Wagstaff. The US Aluminum Association, which represents more than...Read More

FOCUS: Cobalt hydroxide talks get running start after 2020 disruptions

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Limited availability and a solid outlook for electric vehicle (EV) demand have given annual contract negotiations for cobalt hydroxide a kick start, but discussions for cobalt metal may evolve over a longer period, market sources told Fastmarkets.While Covid-19 has hit global economies and dented consumer sentiment, it also put low-carbon economies at the forefront of government policy and expecte...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 26/10: Selling pressure sees LME tin price fall 1.7%; copper below $6,800

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The three-month price of tin on the London Metal Exchange was the laggard at the close of trading on Monday October 26, losing just under 2% of its price against the highest daily volume count since September 23, while selling pressure saw the LME copper price sink below nearby support levels over the afternoon.Tin's outright price on the LME closed at $18,050 per tonne on Monday, recovering from...Read More

LITHIUM CONF: Trading volumes have reached 'critical mass' to support lithium futures contract - LME

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The lithium market has grown to a stage where it can support a futures contract, especially in the context of significant price moves in recent years and forecasts of further growth, Robin Martin, head of market development at the London Metal Exchange, said during a Fastmarkets conference on Monday October 26. "In terms of size, [lithium] is now at a level where it can support an actively traded...Read More

LIVE FUTURES REPORT 26/10: LME base metals prices subdued on US virus stimulus doubts; tin tumbles

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

Three-month base metals prices on the LME were lower in morning trading on Monday October 26, with tin suffering the most after doubts emerged over the US coronavirus stimulus package and with a steady uptick in the US dollar index. Tin's outright price on the London Metal Exchange was recently trading at $17,865 per tonne on Monday morning, down by just under 3% from Friday's closing price o...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: SHFE tailwind for LME pricesAs we are entering the traditional strong demand season, we expect Chinese aluminium demand to show further recovery, and we expect demand from existing end-user sectors, new infrastructure projects and the export sector to show some increases. As a result, we believe that S...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of base metals analysts are ready to view, including an upgrade to our aluminium price forecasts.Aluminium: Price forecasts raisedWe correctly expected the macro reflationary theme to raise the prices for all base metals but, with it being the base metal with by far the weakest fundamentals, we had expected the price of aluminium to underperform relative...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.These include an increase in our copper mine disruption estimates, upgrades to our production outlook for Indonesian nickel pig iron (NPI), a smaller refined zinc surplus, and an upgrade to our zinc price forecasts.Aluminium: Big disconnect between price and fundamentalsAluminium has extended its uptrend on the London Metal...Read More

Silver's Value Remains Under Lock and Key

October 26, 2020 / www.silverdoctors.com

If you trade stocks or commodities, God Bless You and Your Strength! If you hold physicals, give a prayer to those that trade...by J. Johnson via JS MinesetGreat and Wonderful Monday Morning Folks, Gold is struggling to go green under Britain's trading period with the December contract at $1,905.40, up 20 cents and close to the high at $1,907.50 and a low not that far away at $1,892.50. Silv...Read More

Opinions Mean Nothing, Charts Tell the Truth

October 26, 2020 / www.silverdoctors.com

The outlook for silver could be a drop back to $21.00, and if that happens, it would be a buying opportunity. You don't have to be a rocket scientist to...Kevin Wadsworth interviewed on Palisade RadioTom welcomes back market weather forecaster and technical analyst wizard Kevin Wadsworth.In this video episode, Kevin walks us live through the charts to discuss the market's apparent direction. He hi...Read More

RESEARCH: Key takeaways from the latest Base Metals Market Tracker

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view. We also review our price forecasting accuracy for the second quarter 2020.Q2 2020 price forecast performance review According to the results of Fastmarkets' Apex for the second quarter of 2020 published this week, Fastmarkets' base metals research team was the second most accurate price forecaster for nickel (99.06%), lead...Read More

Silver In A Dead-Cat-Bounce Is Not Just Conceivable, It's VERY LIKELY!

October 26, 2020 / www.silverdoctors.com

It doesn't get MORE BEARISH than this...by Przemyslaw Radomski via Sunshine ProfitsSilver is not just any industrial metal. Used as money for centuries, much longer than the fiat currencies have been used, with its specific properties that are also widely used in many industries (best conductor of heat and electricity), with crude oil, it is perhaps one of the most versatile commodities.As far...Read More

RESEARCH: Costs uphold prices for seamless energy tubulars, despite weak demand

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.US ERW OCTG edges higher, seamless could followRising substrate costs helped support US ERW OCTG prices this month, especially at the upper end of the range of offers. Seamless OCTG and linepipe prices, meanwhile, held firm compared with September prices. The fundamentals remain weak, with rig counts going up...Read More

RESEARCH: US HRC price forecasts upgraded for late-2020, early-2021

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key North American steel forecast highlights:US domestic prices for hot-rolled coil (HRC) moved sharply higher in September, in line with our expectations, but the magnitude of the rise exceeded our predictions. Domestic HRC prices averaged $566 per ton in September, exceeding our $540 per ton forecast price.A c...Read More

RESEARCH: Tight markets in US, Europe push HRC prices higher

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Although we correctly forecast a significant rise in hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices in the United States in September 2020, our price forecast proved too conservative.An impressive V-shaped recovery in key economic fundamentals critical to steel consumption is driving stronger demand for steel at the start of the fourth quarte...Read More

RESEARCH: Welded energy pipe producers face higher costs amid weak demand

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Across the regions, producers of welded linepipe and oil-country tubular goods (OCTG) saw their margins shrink with substrate costs increasing in the third quarter of 2020.Many have been attempting to protect margins with higher prices, with varying degrees of success. Europe-origin commodity-grade steel hot-rolled coil and...Read More

RESEARCH: Ferro-alloy price gains in September position markets for strong Q4

October 27, 2020 / www.metalbulletin.com

The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloys forecast highlights:Prices across most ore and alloy markets trended higher in September, buoyed by improving demand from steelmakers with the end of the summer holiday season in Europe and the United States, as well as maintained demand from Chinese steel mills. Tightening of alloy inventories...Read More

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