The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More
This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More
Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More
Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More
Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More
The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More
In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More
Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More
The silver spot price is above $26 per ounce today. It peaked above $28 on April 19, so it's pulled back a bit. But that's no big deal.Like the rising gold price, which is over $2,300 per ounce, it looks like there's more yet to come. In other words, precious metals are rapidly repricing.Right away, this tells me that Wall Street and the City of London have lost control over the price for gold and...Read More
My goodness, I didn't think I could hate the present administration more than I already do. It's a fountain of idiotic ideas, starting with shutting down the Keystone XL pipeline to just sending $61 billion to Ukraine.You may as well just set the money on fire.Everything Boneheaded Biden has done has made things more expensive. And don't give me, "Well, inflation has come down!"If a product costs...Read More
"Why are we gambling with America's future?"This is the question of New York Times columnist David Brooks. More from whom:America is expected to spend $870 billion, or 3.1 percent of gross domestic product, this year on interest payments on the federal debt. According to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, the government will spend more on interest payments than on the entire defense b...Read More
We're smack in the middle of another exciting earnings season.It's once again that magical time of the quarter when investors become confused, angry (or both!) when stocks don't react as they expect after filing their quarterly updates.Why are earnings so tough on armchair investors?It might have something to do with all the confusing numbers and analyst estimates floating around. Or maybe it's be...Read More
They're wearing us down with shocking headlines and opinions. They come daily these days, with increasingly implausible claims that leave your jaw on the floor.The rest of the text is perfunctory. The headline is the takeaway.A few weeks ago, The New York Times told us that "As It Turns out, the Deep State Is Pretty Awesome."These are the same people who claim that Trump is trying to get rid of de...Read More
Did it warm your heart to see all those blue-and-yellow Ukrainian flags waved by our elected officials in Congress Saturday night with the passage of the $60-plus-billion aid bill to the Palookaville of Europe?You realize, don't you, that the tiny fraction of that hypothetical "money" from our country's empty treasury that ever reaches Ukraine will rebound on the instant into Mr. Zelenskyy's C...Read More
We have asked the question before. Today we ask it again: What if socialism "worked"? What if communism worked?That is, what if collectivist economics outdid and outperformed free market capitalism... and Marx triumphed over Smith?Should the United States take collectivism aboard on pragmatic grounds of efficiency? Or should it beg off on abstract grounds of principle?The United States erected its...Read More
“He’d Give You The Shirt Off His Back.”To me, the above quote describes a nice, poor person.There's nothing wrong with that, but I never understood why that compliment was the highest you could give a man.It’s almost like saying, “He’s a great guy, but he can’t organize his financial affairs.”Folks, there’s a reason stewardesses tell you to put...Read More
Does the Fed even matter that much to the real economy and investor portfolios?That's an important question that doesn’t get nearly enough scrutiny. It's possible that neither the Fed nor the reporters who cover the Fed want to ask hard questions about what the Fed really does.Could it be the case that the emperor has no clothes?Financial journalists often refer to a Goldilocks economy ("not...Read More
"Something will have to give."So the International Monetary Fund warns us.Yet what must give? And why must it give?These are the questions that seize our attention today. Reports Bloomberg:The International Monetary Fund leveled an unusually direct criticism at U.S. policymakers Tuesday, saying the country's recent standout performance among advanced economies was in part driven by an unsustainabl...Read More
The New York Stock Exchange is considering moving to 24/7 trading, the Financial Times reports.At the risk of sounding like an old crank, I must admit that I absolutely hate this idea.Sure, the younger generation might love to trade meme stocks and manage their crypto holdings at 3 A.M. But I need what precious sleep I can get. The last thing I want is my brokerage account pinging me with price al...Read More
Those who involved themselves in Bitcoin markets after 2017 encountered a different operation and ideal than those who came before.Today, no one much cares about what came before, speaking of 2010-2016. They are only watching the upward price momentum and are thrilled for the increase in the asset valuation of their portfolio.Gone is the talk of separating money and state, of a market-based means...Read More
The big news this weekend is that the House passed a long-anticipated $95 billion foreign aid package.About $61 billion will go to assist Ukraine in its war with Russia. About $26 billion will go to Israel (with some humanitarian aid for Gaza) and around $8 billion will go to supporting allies in the Indo-Pacific region, most notably Taiwan.The package will go to the Senate this week, possibly as...Read More
Is the United States economy a "bougie" economy?Bougie: "High-class, fancy, materialistic, snobby. Mistaken for prosperity."Mr. E.J. Antoni is an economist with the Heritage Foundation. From whom:Despite inflation-adjusted incomes falling dramatically since January 2021, Americans are buying more than ever. That may sound like a contradiction, but it's perfectly possible, at least in the short run...Read More
I hope you've been having as much fun as I have watching gold go up, which has been our sole consolation in this mad world.The Powers That Be (TPTB) want a war, and they shall have it, by God!So, the best we mere mortals can do is position ourselves correctly for the inevitable market moves. After all, it's silly to sit idly by when we can profit from government-induced volatility of course, that...Read More
So-called artificial intelligence (AI) is taking the world by storm. Meanwhile, gold has shot up like a rocket over the past couple of months.In mid-February, gold was trading at $1,990. Two months later, gold is trading above $2,400 a $410 gain in just two months.So here's a question:Is there a connection between AI and gold? It seems like an odd question. But as it turns out, the answer is yes...Read More
Gold is once again dashing to new all-time highs.Investors are finally starting to notice what we've been talking about for months: A new bull run for precious metals is upon us. And if you pay close attention, you have the opportunity to ride the early rallies as gold, silver, and other metals take the market by storm.We've closely followed gold's breakout potential since late last year when the...Read More
As you know by now, this weekend Iran attacked Israel with a combination of drones, cruise missiles and ballistic missiles. While we don't have the exact number, reports indicate that the attack included about 300 drones and missiles in all.The attack was primarily focused on military and intelligence installations, not major population centers like Tel Aviv. It apparently caused little damage, as...Read More
This is that part of the movie where the hero you tumbles off the cliff on Kong Island in a lightning storm with a canyon full of tarantulas down below where you'll soon be landing. I know, not a pretty picture.The cliff is our country's financial quandary; the lightning is us getting sucked directly into war; and the tarantula pit below is the emerging peril of COVID vaccine injury and death...Read More
The United States economy is largely a "financialized" economy.Financialization: "The increase in size and importance of a country’s financial sector relative to its overall economy."Is financialization a sickness of corroding empires? Do previous examples exist?These are the questions we tackle today.The financial industry represented 10% of the gross domestic product in 1970.By 2010 the fi...Read More