The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More

The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More

This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More

Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More

Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More

Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More

The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More

In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More

Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More

In Beckett's play Waiting for Godot, two tramps, Vladimir and Estragon, spend their time waiting for the titular character. He never arrives.It feels like that with this recession. But according to my friend and colleague Jim Rickards, we're already in one.There's compelling evidence that Jim's correct.But where's the market crash we ordered? That looks like it's never coming. And that's a good th...Read More

The Aug. 5 mini-crash was a potent reminder to investors that stock markets aren't a one-way street.It wasn't the end of the world. Market indexes down 3.0% in a day is a big deal, but it bears no comparison to October 1929 when the stock market fell 21% over two days or October 1987 when the stock market fell 21% in one day.What caused the Aug. 5 mini-crash? There are several suspects. The employ...Read More

If you're reading this, you managed to survive last week's brief but hair-raising stock market horror show.No, the world didn't end during the Yen carry trade panic. In fact, the S&P 500 finished the week lower by less than a tenth of a percent. Not bad! The 3% skid on Monday was the large-cap index's worst one-day performance since 2022. To all but erase that kind of one-day move in less than...Read More

The stock market has stabilized after Monday's major stumble for now. Don't sound the all-clear signal just yet.Yes, the U.S. markets look temporarily stabilized... while the Bank of Japan suffered a major anxiety attack, declaring it would turn around the very modest 25 basis point interest rate lift that crashed their markets for three days by 20% and also stated they would no longer even tr...Read More

When a relatively unknown individual steps on the political stage as a candidate for high office, both sides race to "define" the candidate and stamp his image in the public mind.Since the Democrats knew they would pick Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota for their VP candidate, they had time to pre-produce the public image.He's not particularly fit or good-looking. No problem! They pushed him as a folksy,...Read More

The sudden economic lockdown of March 2020, the world over, was one of the more shocking moments in history.It was initially advertised to be two weeks. But as time went on and the lockdown period was extended longer and longer, it became clear that the whole point was to wait for a vaccine.This was based on the evidence-free supposition that the whole population was under threat and that the shot...Read More

We are told the time has come for the Federal Reserve to wield its ax... and cut its target rate.We are further told that prevailing conditions may demand multiple axings.And that these adjustments to the overnight lending rate will work healthful impacts.They will invigorate the guttering economy with fresh gusts. They will soothe the nerve-wracked stock market.They will, in brief, pour down oil...Read More

Not surprisingly, the stock market bounced back today after yesterday's mini-crash the "buy the dip" theme is deeply entrenched in today's market.But don't make the mistake of thinking that stocks will continue on their way to record highs. There are too many red flags to ignore, although Wall Street would like you to ignore them.Meanwhile, yesterday's market swoon distracted people from a major...Read More

The stars were once again in their courses yesterday... oil was poured upon troubled waters... the dip was bought.All was peace.Following Monday's sharp unpleasantness, the stock market went trampolining back.Yet gravity reasserted itself today.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 234 points earthward.With it came the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.The first dropped 40 points. The second, 171.Y...Read More

"Most people think today will be like yesterday," Daily Reckoning co-founder Bill Bonner says..."But every now and then, today is NOT like yesterday. Something changes, something goes off the rails, there's a paradigm shift."We may be facing such an inflection point right now. Today, I'll show you why, and what's at stake.The stock market selloff that began late last week intensified today. The Do...Read More

I was enjoying a cocktail on my neighbor’s porch early Saturday night when the skies suddenly changed.Thunder rolled in as the horizon turned an ominous shade of purple and the wind began bending the treetops. We retreated inside just a few moments later as the first raindrops fell and watched the storm unfold from the safety of the kitchen.It was gone almost as quickly as it appeared - but...Read More

A seismic shift is rumbling through the financial markets in the second half of 2024. That's right. Let's break it all down...As I'm sure you know, the Fed held interest rates steady at this week's FOMC meeting. That was no surprise.But after years of tightening, the Fed is finally expected to pivot toward rate cuts, quite possibly in September.Friday's disappointing jobs report only reinforces th...Read More

I recently attended the annual Rick Rule resource conference in Boca Raton, Florida. Who doesn't want to swelter in 95-degree temps in the shade and 95% humidity? Then again, and as an old friend a rompin', stompin' retired Navy SEAL says, "There's no bad weather, only inappropriate clothing and poor preparation."No need to fret, though. It was all OK because the heat and humidity were outside...Read More

Humans have a knack for normalizing extremes. We quickly habituate to conditions that would have been intolerable before the extremes were normalized by habituation and recency bias.In no time at all, we’ve persuaded ourselves that it's not only normal, but healthy.For 15 years, extreme policies have steadily dragged the economy and the wealthy higher. Now we’re finally at the top of t...Read More

What is this? CBS News is advising you to acquire gold?We are waylaid, gobsmacked and astounded. Yet it is true."There are multiple reasons why beginners should consider investing in the metal as soon as this week," we are informed.CBS News proceeds to cite the three central reasons. Reasons one:With many experts predicting a price of $3,000 per ounce shortly, then, now is the time to buy in while...Read More

"A snake that cannot shed its skin dies," Friedrich Nietzsche once wrote.And yet Joke Biden, who has one foot in the Oval Office and the other in the grave, continues to pilfer oxygen from the rest of us humans.After his debate disaster with The Donald, it's nearly certain President Emeritus and Klaus Schwab wannabe Barack Obama called Biden to tell him Kamala Harris, Biden's "loyal" Veep, approve...Read More

Donald Trump pledges to Make America Great Again.Kamala Harris pledges... something.Yet she believes her policies will work the identical effect.We are skeptical deeply that either is equal to the task.The United States' debt-to-GDP ratio exceeds 120%.Hard evidence indicates that nations with ratios exceeding 90% are destined to gutter.They are far too burdened by debt to get along much.Debt i...Read More

In the nine days since President Biden announced he was shutting down his reelection campaign, a fresh wave of political prognostications has infiltrated my news feed as market pundits adjust to the new race.As Kamala attempts to pull off an upset victory, the questions I'm fielding are blurring the lines between politics and markets. Almost everyone I interact with in my personal and professional...Read More

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve is meeting today and tomorrow for the purpose of discussing the economy and setting monetary policy going forward.What does it mean for markets and your money? Today we'll explore those questions. Let's first start off with what we know.We know that tomorrow, the Fed will leave its target rate unchanged. That decision will keep the fe...Read More

Americans have just passed through the most eventful and tumultuous four weeks in memory.The only comparisons are 9/11, the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989, the Watergate/Vietnam days of the 1970s, the riots and assassinations in the 1960s and the Cuban Missile Crisis.First, we had Joe Biden's face-plant debate performance on June 27 when he looked like a corpse and spoke in a demented way.Then ca...Read More