The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More
The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More
This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More
Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More
Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More
Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More
The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More
In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More
Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More
Full Article: SWOT Analysis: Will Gold Shine During Volatile Times?By: Frank HolmesStrengthsThe best performing metal this week was gold, down 1.26 percent. China's demand for gold jewelry rose 10 percent last year to around 700 metric tons due to increasing wealth of residents. China is the largest market for gold in the world. Gold demand is also on the rise in India, the second largest cons...Read More
Full Article: Raising Rates Reflect Bigger Debt Not Faster GrowthBy: Peter SchiffWhile investors are justifiably focused on what may be the opening crescendo of a long overdue sell-off in stocks, there is not, as of yet, as feverish a discussion of the parallel sell-offs in bonds and the U.S. dollar, which have been underway for at least a year and a half in bonds and 14 months for the dollar. I...Read More
What is the Mar-a-Lago Accord? And what would a Mar-a-Lago Accord mean for the value of the U.S. dollar?We begin our analysis with the name itself. Mar-a-Lago Accord is an echo of the three major international currency accords since the original Bretton Woods Agreements reached in 1944.Accords Through The YearsThe first was the Smithsonian Agreement in December 1971. This came in the aftermath of...Read More
Silver has ripped 40% higher over the past year. It currently trades at $34.33 per ounce.Despite the healthy price action, the thought of selling hasn't crossed my mind.Today I will lay out the case that silver could triple to over $100/oz over the next few years.When pondering how high silver could go, historical prices are a logical place to start. To do so properly, however, we need to account...Read More
Today, of all days, we'll discuss confiscated gold and space alien technology, because both are an ongoing source of public mystery.Some years ago, in the mid-2000s, I visited the Pentagon to meet with several high-level Air Force officials and staff. We discussed with something mundane, namely aviation fuel and related issues that concern U.S. military supply chains. I had been writing about oil...Read More
"Will we have a recession?" was the question.My answer was... Yes, count on it.And to give away the punchline, prepare now for rough seas ahead, so to speak. Take some money off the stock market table, stash cash, lighten up expenses, throttle back generally, and own gold and silver for the long-term.Here's the background...There Are Recessions, and "Recessions"During the 1980 presidential campaig...Read More
Around the world, governments are shifting onto trade war footing.When preparing for financial warfare, nations aim to become as self-reliant as possible. In agriculture, manufacturing, refining, mining, drilling, and more.The stronger a nation is in these areas, the stronger its negotiating position will be.America is doing decently well when it comes to preparation. Under Biden, we fell behind i...Read More
Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value - zero. Voltaire, 18th centuryIn films and TV shows set in the future, money is usually a digital government currency.Credits, cubits, and chits are a few names I recall. This is a globalist CBDC-based vision of the future. Bleak.But in one of my favorite sci-fi movies, Looper, precious metals reign supreme as money. In that film, the inevitab...Read More
'One thing I like about Argentina. They cook with salt. That's it.' Robert DuvallWell, you never know, do you?Recall that the Argentines introduced a "century bond' in 2017. At the time, we were not alone in considering it the 'dumbest investment in the world.'Who would lend the Argentines money for 100 years, we wondered? Statistically, the odds were that Argentina would default seven times befo...Read More
Is your Tesla making you a target?We've written in the past about certain dangers associated with Tesla cars and the Tesla Cybertruck that are in addition to the driving hazards common to all automobiles. These include fires caused by the spontaneous combustion of powerful batteries. There have been many cases (usually well-publicized) of a Tesla seemingly burnt to a crisp due to an unaccounted-fo...Read More
After 3 terrible years of fighting, the war in Ukraine may finally be nearing its conclusion.Last week Presidents Trump and Putin had a 2+ hour phone call which apparently went well. Both leaders expressed a strong desire to end the war, and more than that, expand bilateral relations.On the battlefield, Russia is on the verge of pushing the last of Ukraine's forces out of its Kursk region. It is a...Read More
On Monday, we offered readers the following forecast of what would happen at the FOMC meeting this week:On Wednesday, the Fed will continue its pause in interest rate cuts. That decision will leave the federal funds target unchanged at 4.50%. The Fed's current rate lowering cycle began with a 0.50% rate cut on September 18, 2024, followed by additional rate cuts of 0.25% each on November 7 and Dec...Read More
Every once in a while, the "cheese-eating surrender monkeys" produce a genius of rare quality. That person is Alain de Benoist. De Benoist is clear-eyed about the present and future and worth a listen.A leading figure in the French New Right, de Benoist described to Breizh-info.com the resurgence of Donald Trump’s power as a major geopolitical upheaval, second only in his lifetime to the col...Read More
Since taking the helm at Berkshire Hathaway in 1965, Warren Buffett has compounded capital at about 20% per year.That's almost double the annual return of the S&P 500, which over 6 decades equates to a shocking 120x total outperformance. This is the incredible power of compounding.Buffett built his fortune the old-fashioned way. He bought quality companies on the cheap and sold them for substa...Read More
Today, we'll discuss gold, which recently crossed the historic threshold of $3,000 per ounce. There's more price upside over time, I believe, for both the metal itself and definitely for mining companies. That is, even at this new high, and seemingly lofty price, the yellow metal strikes me as dramatically undervalued.But first, before we get into gold let's discuss a high tech darling, beloved by...Read More
Tesla shares are now down more than 50% from their all-time high. And as I write this, shares are down about 4% on the day.In the midst of this market chaos, yesterday a friend texted me, saying, "I'm thinking about buying more Tesla here."Historically, big pullbacks in Tesla have turned out to be excellent buying opportunities. But I had to tell him that I don't believe the risk/reward is favorab...Read More
Over the course of COVID, the U.S. government spent absurd amounts of money to prevent a total financial collapse.At least $4.6 trillion was pumped into the economy in the form of stimulus checks, forgivable loans, tax breaks, and healthcare spending.For the past five years, we've been coasting off of this stimulus. But now, the effects are finally beginning to wear off.And it's showing up in the...Read More
We're talking about betrayals.Disappointment.Faithlessness.Markets Insider:Another red day on Wall Street: Trump’s latest tariff threats bring the market-cap wipeout to $5 trillion.How do investors feel? They expected a big boom. They thought they'd get rich.Disappointment seems to be spreading. Polls of CEOs and consumers show deepening pessimism. AP:Inflation, looming trade war take a toll...Read More
For decades, we gold bugs have whispered about a grand conspiracy.The theory is that governments and central banks have suppressed the price of gold and silver. The purpose of this manipulation would be to prop up fiat currencies by limiting the gains in precious metals.After all, if gold and silver are flying higher, it makes fiat currencies look bad by comparison.The best evidence of such a sche...Read More
The stock market has topped out and is headed down.The Dow Jones Industrial Average peaked at 45,014 on December 4, 2024, and was at 41,911 by March 10, 2025, down 3,101 points or 6.9% in just over three months.The S&P 500 Index peaked at 6,130 on February 18, 2025, and was at 5,614 on March 10, 2025, down 516 points or 8.4% in less than one month.The NASDAQ Composite Index peaked at 20,174 on...Read More