The precious metals all soared in 2025, and while a continued monetary expansion and geopolitical risk could still drive gains especially for gold in 2026, a pullback in silver, platinum and palladium is possible after recent partly speculative surges.Read More

The AOCE and WB have moderate overall forecasts for the metals in 2025 inline with IMF forecasts for a decline in economic growth and inflation, although we see the probability of a stagflationary scenario as still reasonably high.Read More

The past year was a difficult one overall for the metals, with the main standouts to the upside being a geopolitical risk-driven gain in gold, a China-driven rise in iron ore and a surge in uranium on broadening global support for nuclear power (Figure 1). A jump in global interest rates to near two-decade highs saw recession fears persist all year, and while one still did not actually eru...Read More

This year the post-global health crisis boom was brought to an end by a surge in inflation to forty-year highs, a major rise in global interest rates in an attempt to curb the rising prices and surging geopolitical risk after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While precious metals held up reasonably well as markets turned to them as a risk hedge, by Q2/22 the higher interest rates put an end t...Read More

Chile is the world leader in copper production, at 28.5% of the total in 2020, and this looks set to continue, with the country having the largest global reserves, at 23.0% of total. It is also the global leader for molybdenum, which is often found along with copper, and is a major lithium player, holding 51.1% of global reserves. Read More

Newfoundland has become a gold exploration hotspot over the past few years, with the sector seeing some of its strongest activity ever. While the province remains a small contributor to Canadian gold production, it has a substantial mineral industry well supported by the government, focused on iron ore, copper and nickel, and the surge in exploration suggests that gold output from the...Read More

Nevada is the core of the U.S. gold output, accounting for by far the majority, at 75.4% on average for the past year. The state looks set to remain a dominant player in U.S. gold, as it accounts for 49% of total U.S. reserves, with Alaska slightly ahead with 51% of reserves, but just 8.6% of current production. The U.S. accounts for 6.1% of global gold output, making Nevada one of the largest gol...Read More

The Golden Triangle in northwestern British Columbia has historically been a major site of Canadian gold production, beginning as early as the mid 1800s. There was a wave of production in the 1990s which cooled as the gold price declined, but larger scale production resumed in 2017, and the area has seen surging exploration interest over the past year, given that the region has some of the largest...Read More

In this report we outline the Quebec gold mining industry, including its major producers, and a survey of many of the junior miners focused on the province. Quebec accounts for 34% of Canadian gold production (second to Ontario, with 44%) and remains a major focus for both producers and junior miners.Read More

Red Lake has been one of the most prolific gold mining districts in Canada and the world, with exploration having started in the 1920s, and production, which began in the 1930s, continuing to the present day. The district is known for the high grade of its gold, its infrastructure, and strong institutional support, given the long history of mining in the area.Read More

"Never open your article by talking about the weather."That' advice comes from one of the high priests of editorial writing, Mark Ford, who ran a bootcamp for writers which I attended long ago. I've not forgotten what he said, so I try to stick to my wheelhouse which is economic issues, energy, metals, geology and military stuff, and various related subjects.But today? Well... Today the weather IS...Read More

My goodness...Gold and silver just keep going.Silver just hit $101/oz, while gold rose above $5,000/oz.Two huge milestones in a single day.For silver, we described this move pretty well as it developed. Industrial demand is soaring from electronics and solar panels. And now that investors are jumping on board, this explosive move is the result.But gold is arguably sending an even more urgent messa...Read More

We need to talk about the difference between physical gold and gold miners.Physical gold, the actual metal, is insurance. Unlike a country's currency, gold is an asset without being someone else's liability. That means it can't be frozen or sanctioned by another country. That makes it the asset of choice for financial institutions when there is risk of currency debasement and inflation.Inflation s...Read More

The World Economic Forum (WEF) is taking place in Davos, Switzerland, this week.Presidents, PMs, CEOs, bankers, and other "elites" have hopped in their private jets to lecture us peasants about climate change. And of course there will be plenty of plotting, scheming, and discussing geopolitics.Having so many swamp dwellers packed into such a small area only happens once a year.Given the chaotic st...Read More

If Ibn Khaldun parachuted into Washington in 2026, he wouldn't ask for directions. He'd ask for a whiteboard.The man spent the 14th century explaining why empires rise, rot, and fall apart under their own weight.The awkward truth? His framework maps onto modern America a little too cleanly.Debt binges. Bloated bureaucracies. Culture-war bread and circuses. Elites who talk about "the people" the wa...Read More

My old friend Steve used to write stories about "Old Turkey". He was a character from Jesse Livermore's Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.Old Turkey was known for his patience in a bull market. Because the hardest thing for most investors to do is nothing. His advice was always to "sit tight" and don't sell during a bull market.When younger traders would tell him to sell and buy back in cheaper, h...Read More

Ancient skulls often have perfect teeth.This may seem strange.Because for 99.99999% of human history, we didn't have toothbrushes or braces. No orthodontic surgeons to remove wisdom teeth.So how were ancient people's dental health so good?Much of the answer lies in how they were used.Gnawing on bones, chomping cartilage, and chewing on roots from a young age.These actions create small stresses whi...Read More

It's been exactly a year since January 20, 2025, when Donald Trump was sworn in for Term 2.0 as President.Today we'll look both back and ahead. We'll consider key events from the past 365 days, and what we can expect could happen next.And right up front: If any modern American President has ripped away the political Band-Aids and exposed the raw, bleeding, longstanding, unhealed, infected, suppura...Read More

Is Donald Trump an emperor? Of course not. Still, the more interesting question is whether Trump personally rules like an emperor, at least the "good emperors" of Roman history. That question requires some in-depth analysis. The answer may surprise most readers. At the same time, the answer offers some valuable clues as to Trump's policy choices over the coming years. That's an invaluable aid to i...Read More

Over the past 5 years, the S&P 500 is up an impressive 83%.Meanwhile the Vanguard Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) has only risen 6.8% over that period.Once you factor in inflation, emerging markets (EMs) are basically flat in real terms over the past 5 years.And this trend of U.S. stocks outperforming has been going on for more than a decade. The chart below covers 1990 to July 2025. The red line i...Read More

I spent years in the financial wilderness, waiting for the sky to fall.You see, the Chicken Little Austrian School forgets to remind its adherents to gather ye rosebuds while ye may. That is, there's a boom before the bust, and one has to make hay while the getting's good, no matter how much you disagree with the prevailing fiscal or monetary policy.Yes, the state is a gang of thieves writ large,...Read More

Friends (and even one enemy) have been texting me about silver.And based on the fact that we just hit $92/oz here in the U.S., and over $105 in Shanghai, it's not about to ease up."Is it too late to buy silver?""Should I sell?""Are miners a buy here?"I imagine many of you are wondering the same things.So today, let's cover these bases.Is it Too Late to Buy?This is the toughest question.Let's take...Read More

The scale of fraud allegedly being committed by Somalian immigrants in Minnesota has shocked the country.It started with an independent journalist named Nick Shirley and his viral investigation into government-funded daycares.As I'm sure you all know by now, he visited a bunch of them on camera, and most were empty on a school day.Many had boarded-up windows, and no outdoor play areas. And the sta...Read More

First things first. Let's define these acronyms.PACO = Powell Always Chickens Out. A new twist on TACO.TACO = Trump Always Chickens Out. A tired line from mainstream media.The big question is, who will bend first? President Trump, or Fed chief Powell?At this point, their battle has been raging for Trump's entire second term.Last year, President Trump gave Federal Reserve head Jerome Powell a Nativ...Read More

First, welcome to new subscribers who signed up for a Paradigm Press subscription over the holiday season. Thank you for being part of what we do, and absolutely we do it for you.Today we'll look at recent, eye-popping moves in precious metals. Then we'll segue into how President Trump is shaking up the entire structure of both the internal U.S. and external global order (aka the "old" order)... w...Read More

John Rich is a country music superstar.He's known as a deeply Christian man and a big supporter of President Trump.And guess what? John's a fellow silver bug, big time.I recently came across a very interesting post by John on X (Twitter).It was a long, detailed post about the silver short squeeze theory. And John has 1.4 million followers on X, so he gets some serious eyeballs on this stuff.Here's...Read More

There are many different skills that any person – especially a businessperson – must develop. Presentation, writing, and networking skills, among others, are crucial to developing both the self and the business.Imagine your prospective customer discussing a potential business deal with you.You're able to navigate the conversation effortlessly, without any theatrics. The dialogue feels...Read More

Last summer my 16-year old worked at the pool we belong to.Here in Ellicott City, Maryland, the minimum wage is $15/hr. Not bad for a teenager these days.Over 3 months he earned about $2,800 after taxes.He wanted to invest the money. So we started a custodial Roth IRA. The most he can contribute is the total he earned, and we agreed to match 50%.I explained the benefits to him, and he was sold. A...Read More

The last year has been a precious metals story.We've covered that story to the point that even I'm getting sick of writing about it.Thankfully, things are heating up in industrial metals. And there are some attractive opportunities in cheap mining stocks.With the industrial metals we're talking about iron, aluminum, nickel, copper, zinc, etc. Hard assets.These are the "boring" metals, but right no...Read More

Welcome to 2026 and a new year with Paradigm Press. We all hope that you had a good holiday season, and perhaps took some time off to relax, recharge and regroup. Many thanks for subscribing. And now, let's get back to work and make some money, right?Over the past couple of weeks, I pondered what to discuss in my kickoff article for the year. I thought I'd write about President Trump and his new f...Read More