The Price of Silver Is Now "Massively Oversold"

By Peter Krauth / November 14, 2018 / / Article Link

Peter KrauthPeter Krauth

The price of silver has been beaten down so badly lately, it's become massively oversold.

In response to a blistering dollar rally, silver has sold off to levels last seen in late 2015, when silver prices put in a major multiyear low.

That's been tough for silver bulls, who watched silver gain 5.4% in October after its September bottom.

But smart money silver hedgers are still near extreme all-time low net short positions, suggesting they believe silver to be very cheap with little downside risk from here.

Only time will tell us if they're right, but they do tend to be great at positioning for extremes.

What's more, the gold to silver ratio has just reached its highest level in 25 years.

price of silverWith silver prices flirting with their post-2011 lows, the metal is cheap on a fundamental and relative basis. Odds are good we'll soon get a blazing rally that will shock the shorts into buying.

Here's exactly how the price of silver is moving this week…

How the Price of Silver Is Moving Now

With the dollar at a 16-month high, it's not a complete surprise that silver has sold off so dramatically.

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The Fed's November FOMC meeting produced a hawkish press release that drove traders to buy the dollar while selling precious metals.

The price of silver spent last week trending downward, starting at $14.70 and closing on Monday, Nov. 13 at $13.98. That meant all of its October gains evaporated in about two weeks, with the bulk of that in the latter half of last week.

The precious metal got lumped in with stocks, which suffered strong selling, especially in the last three trading days.

But it was mostly dollar strength that sent silver holders fleeing.

The DXY ran past 97 on Friday, then all the way to 97.7 by late Monday.

Here's how that price action looked:

silver prices

But even with Tuesday's dip in the dollar, silver headed lower, in tune with gold as sentiment weighed heavily.

By the close of trading on Tuesday, silver had reached a low of $13.98, a level not seen since the very end of 2015.

Now, here's my forecast for silver prices looking forward…

Here's My Updated Forecast for the Price of Silver