Bob Moriarty Archiveswritten May 18, 2018published May 21, 2018That title may sound a little cruel of me but when a company plucks a company out of bankruptcy court with a 424,000-oz gold resource for a nickel an ounce, what the hell am I supposed to call it? But it gets worse.Midway Gold had gold projects in Nevada and was going into production when a whole bunch of things went south at the same...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Mar 18, 2019March 14, 2019Most of the behavior of market sentiment indicators is driven by what prices do.This week’s chart is a case in point, showing the spread between the bullish and bearish percentages as reported by Investors Intelligence.The attribute of these data that I want to call attention to is how closely this bull-bear spread resembl...Read More
While the demand for precious metals is certainly off its highs from prior years, investors would be quite surprised by the astonishing amount of physical gold and silver investment since the 2008 financial crisis. Only by comparing the gold and silver investment demand in the prior decade, can we truly understand how the precious metals market has changed, and probably forever.Now, before I...Read More
Yellow metal will remain under pressures on strong dollarGold prices will remain subdued in the second quarter due to the strengthening US dollar, concerns over the global economic slowdown and Brexit chaos, giving a good opportunity to buyers to cash in on the lower prices, analysts and jewellery retailers have said.They believed that $1,300 (Dh4,771) an ounce is the key resistance level, once it...Read More
The dip in price is an opportunity for the customers to buy gold and jewellery on lower rates.Gold prices will remain subdued in the second quarter due to the strengthening US dollar, concerns over the global economic slowdown and Brexit chaos, giving a good opportunity to buyers to cash in on the lower prices, analysts and jewellery retailers have said.They believed that $1,300 (Dh4,771) an ounce...Read More
Jeff Clark, Senior Analyst, GoldSilver I wrote to silver last week, and she answered back. I'd like to share our correspondence with you...Dear Silver,I'm a big fan. You offer so many important benefits to an investor, and at such a low price. You're a permanent store of value. You're nobody else's liability, so I know when I buy you, I'm not relying on anyone else to live up to their end of...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted May 6, 2019May 3, 2019A little bit of fear over the old saying about “Sell in May and go away” has led the VIX Index to pop up through its 50-day moving average (50MA), but stopping right at its upper 50-1 Bollinger Band.The VIX’s pattern of higher lows is not confirming of the higher price highs, and for now that is a problem for the b...Read More
Reports that undocumented immigrants are protesting in the Charles de Gaulle Airport in #Paris right now and won't let people board their flights until they meet and talk Continue...Read More
Silver looks considerably weaker than gold, although that is normal at this stage in the cycle. It is still considered likely that it is forming a Double Bottom with its lows of late 2015, and if so then the support at those lows should hold.On silver's 1-year chart it still looks like it is moving to complete a Cup & Handle base, because the pattern roughly parallels the pattern completing in...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted May 27, 2019May 23, 2019The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) measures shipping rates on a type of cargo ship which hauls “dry” cargo, such as iron ore, coal, etc. as opposed to tankers hauling oil, or container ships hauling big steel boxes of stuff. The BDI has long been considered as an important leading economic indicator, because if steel companies...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Aug 4, 2019August 1, 2019Quietness is a sign of trader complacency, and thus of a topping condition for prices.Quietness manifests itself in a variety of ways, and can be measured also in a bunch of different ways.Most often, chartists will use Average True Range (ATR) to look at what prices are doing.This week’s chart was featured in a recent issu...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 2, 2019August 30, 2019We currently have trade wars, presidential tweets, inversions in the yield curve, slowing earnings growth, decreasing corporate share buy-backs, and all manner of other problems affecting the stock market.And yet the long-term message from crude oil prices says that the stock market ought to continue trending upward into 2021.It...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 15, 2019September 12, 2019President Trump has been articulating his wish on Twitter and elsewhere that the U.S. have interest rates as low as other countries.That’s an understandable wish, as no one likes to pay more than the other guy is paying for something.In economics there are often unintended side effects, and that is what this week&rsquo...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 24, 2019September 19, 2019Back on August 22, I wrote here about how the spread between the 10-year T-Note yield and the 3-month T-Bill yield gives us a leading indication that is relevant for small cap relative performance.This time, I look at the "yield curve" in a different way, via the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields.The 10-year to 3-mont...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Oct 22, 2019October 17, 2019Short-term interest rates have been falling, pushing the Federal Reserve to cut its own Fed Funds rate target.This week’s chart says that there is still a lot further for rates to fall. I get a lot of data out of the CFTC’s weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) Report, and I review the relevant insights every Friday i...Read More
Is Silver's long bear market over? If so, it would be exciting news for bulls who have suffered through a hellacious, 72% correction since the metal peaked in 2011 just beneath $50. The monthly chart (see inset) provides reason for cautious optimism, implying as it does that Comex futures could be bottoming slightly above $15. If a powerful and sustained upturn lies in the offing, the September co...Read More
Drop in gold prices props up physical buying in Asia Gold edged higher on Monday as investors found the metal attractive after prices fell to a 19-month low last week, while a rising dollar weighed on the market ahead of planned US-China trade talks.The precious metal shed 2.2 per cent last week in its sixth straight weekly decline and worst weekly performance since December."Though the metal look...Read More
Technical observations of RossClark@shaw.caBob HoyeInstitutional AdvisorsPosted Sep 18, 2018(Click on image to enlarge)###Bob HoyeInstitutional Advisorsemail: bobhoye@institutionaladvisors.comwebsite: www.institutionaladvisors.com321goldLtdRead More
Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Keith Dicker back to MacroVoices. Erik and Keith discuss the government bond bubble, artificially suppressed interest rates and rethinking bonds for portfolio allocations. They discuss what impact that a bond market route could have on equities and if the bond bear market has started. They conclude with their outlook on equities and gold.Read More
Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer. On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014 - late 2015, following a severe bearmarket from its 2011 highs. For a while...Read More