The silver price trended lower last week after hitting a high of nearly $16 the prior week. So, what's in store for silver and the broader markets this week? If we look at the moving averages and what is taking place in the broader markets, we may find some clues. It seems as if the silver price over the past two weeks has been moving in the opposite direction of the Dow Jon...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Feb 28, 2019February 21, 2019Gold prices recently swooped up to a rather spiky looking top, and on Feb. 21 a big drop started the work of unwinding that blowoff.It was a good looking spike upward as far as gold itself was concerned.But it did not come with confirmation from other prices which tend to move in sympathy with gold. This week’s chart co...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Mar 18, 2019March 14, 2019Most of the behavior of market sentiment indicators is driven by what prices do.This week’s chart is a case in point, showing the spread between the bullish and bearish percentages as reported by Investors Intelligence.The attribute of these data that I want to call attention to is how closely this bull-bear spread resembl...Read More
While the demand for precious metals is certainly off its highs from prior years, investors would be quite surprised by the astonishing amount of physical gold and silver investment since the 2008 financial crisis. Only by comparing the gold and silver investment demand in the prior decade, can we truly understand how the precious metals market has changed, and probably forever.Now, before I...Read More
Yellow metal will remain under pressures on strong dollarGold prices will remain subdued in the second quarter due to the strengthening US dollar, concerns over the global economic slowdown and Brexit chaos, giving a good opportunity to buyers to cash in on the lower prices, analysts and jewellery retailers have said.They believed that $1,300 (Dh4,771) an ounce is the key resistance level, once it...Read More
The dip in price is an opportunity for the customers to buy gold and jewellery on lower rates.Gold prices will remain subdued in the second quarter due to the strengthening US dollar, concerns over the global economic slowdown and Brexit chaos, giving a good opportunity to buyers to cash in on the lower prices, analysts and jewellery retailers have said.They believed that $1,300 (Dh4,771) an ounce...Read More
Jeff Clark, Senior Analyst, GoldSilver I wrote to silver last week, and she answered back. I'd like to share our correspondence with you...Dear Silver,I'm a big fan. You offer so many important benefits to an investor, and at such a low price. You're a permanent store of value. You're nobody else's liability, so I know when I buy you, I'm not relying on anyone else to live up to their end of...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted May 6, 2019May 3, 2019A little bit of fear over the old saying about “Sell in May and go away” has led the VIX Index to pop up through its 50-day moving average (50MA), but stopping right at its upper 50-1 Bollinger Band.The VIX’s pattern of higher lows is not confirming of the higher price highs, and for now that is a problem for the b...Read More
Reports that undocumented immigrants are protesting in the Charles de Gaulle Airport in #Paris right now and won't let people board their flights until they meet and talk Continue...Read More
Silver looks considerably weaker than gold, although that is normal at this stage in the cycle. It is still considered likely that it is forming a Double Bottom with its lows of late 2015, and if so then the support at those lows should hold.On silver's 1-year chart it still looks like it is moving to complete a Cup & Handle base, because the pattern roughly parallels the pattern completing in...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted May 27, 2019May 23, 2019The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) measures shipping rates on a type of cargo ship which hauls “dry” cargo, such as iron ore, coal, etc. as opposed to tankers hauling oil, or container ships hauling big steel boxes of stuff. The BDI has long been considered as an important leading economic indicator, because if steel companies...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Aug 4, 2019August 1, 2019Quietness is a sign of trader complacency, and thus of a topping condition for prices.Quietness manifests itself in a variety of ways, and can be measured also in a bunch of different ways.Most often, chartists will use Average True Range (ATR) to look at what prices are doing.This week’s chart was featured in a recent issu...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 2, 2019August 30, 2019We currently have trade wars, presidential tweets, inversions in the yield curve, slowing earnings growth, decreasing corporate share buy-backs, and all manner of other problems affecting the stock market.And yet the long-term message from crude oil prices says that the stock market ought to continue trending upward into 2021.It...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 15, 2019September 12, 2019President Trump has been articulating his wish on Twitter and elsewhere that the U.S. have interest rates as low as other countries.That’s an understandable wish, as no one likes to pay more than the other guy is paying for something.In economics there are often unintended side effects, and that is what this week&rsquo...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Sep 24, 2019September 19, 2019Back on August 22, I wrote here about how the spread between the 10-year T-Note yield and the 3-month T-Bill yield gives us a leading indication that is relevant for small cap relative performance.This time, I look at the "yield curve" in a different way, via the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields.The 10-year to 3-mont...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Oct 22, 2019October 17, 2019Short-term interest rates have been falling, pushing the Federal Reserve to cut its own Fed Funds rate target.This week’s chart says that there is still a lot further for rates to fall. I get a lot of data out of the CFTC’s weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) Report, and I review the relevant insights every Friday i...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Dec 18, 2019December 13, 2019Food prices are poised to see their biggest rise in several years, and not just because China is going to become a buyer again of U.S. agricultural goods.There is a different reason for expecting food prices to rise, and it is contained in this week’s lead chart. Gold prices act as a leading indication for lots of diffe...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Dec 31, 2019December 27, 2019Gold prices are seeing a Christmas week pop, getting all of the gold bugs excited again.But the smart money “commercial” traders of gold futures have a different vision of the future. Every Friday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes its Commitment of Traders (COT) Report, detailing the numbe...Read More
And just like that, it never happened!The S&P 500 just broke to a new record high...Continue...Read More
McClellan Financial Publications, IncPosted Jan 9, 2020January 3, 2020The efforts of the Federal Reserve to inject extra liquidity into the banking system over the past 2 months have helped to fuel the year-end (2019) rally.Questions remain about how long the Fed may choose to keep up that effort, and whether the Fed has enough ink in the printing presses to overcome other market forces. And with...Read More