Goko Group, Released on Released on 10/17/21To find out the wealth accumulation opportunities in today's market environment, I've asked outspoken, world-renowned trend forecaster Gerald Celente to share his latest research findings on how you can make extreme profits from the major political, economic and social shifts ahead.This new post-pandemic reality is forcing us to rethink our future and in...Read More
At a time when the Wall Street banks are scratching their heads for credible explanations why they are keeping (or raising) their year-end S&P targets at a time when economic growth is in freefall and inflation is soaring (read: stagflation), an unexpected source of honesty has emerged - the Atlanta Fed, which now sees the US on the verge of contraction.In its latest GDPNow forecast published...Read More
Today was all about two things - what went up (crypto) and what went down (US economic growth forecasts).The much-anticipated launch of a Bitcoin (Futures) ETF sent the cryptocurrency to a record closing high (yes we know BTC doesn't "close")...Source: BloombergJust below the record intraday high from earlier in the year...Source: BloombergSpot Bitcoin topped $64,000 intraday...Sour...Read More
During an otherwise quiet pre-market session, billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones sat down for an interview with the CNBC "Squawk Box" crew. But anybody who expected this to be a quiet, softball-filled interview about PTJ's philanthropic work (ahead of a major gala by his Robin Hood Foundation being held Wednesday night) was quickly disabused of that notion when PTJ opened with a...Read More
Two weeks after we reported that China's property market just suffered "catastrophic" property sales in September which invoked Goldman's "hard landing" scenario and which saw total sales of 759.6b yuan plunge 36.2% from September 2020 (and 17.7% lower from the same period in 2019), deepening a downward spiral that started in July with transaction volume of residentia...Read More
Update (1930ET): In a stunning development after hours, DWAC just topped $70, meaning it is up over 600% on the day...After being halted multiple times during the day...How long before Senator Warren demands this be removed from the exchange and that SPACs be immediately banned?Dear CNBC, it won't crush your ratings if you cover this at some point pic.twitter.com/l9IeVDlTaz- zerohedge (@zer...Read More
By Bloomberg markets live commentator and former Lehman trader Mark CudmoreU.K. breakeven rates at the highest levels this century aren't yet high enough...We're entering the eye of the earnings season and the message from corporates is already coming through loud and clear: prices will climb a chunk further over the coming months, even as output is impaired. Every day brings fresh news of suppl...Read More
While cryptocurrencies have been stealing the headlines recently with record highs amid 'inflation hedge' narratives, commodities have put in a strong performance amid supply chain shocks and unprecedented demand interference (monetary/fiscal policy). As everything from copper to crude and aluminum to zinc has soared, one metal has lagged...But, as Bloomberg reports, two of the biggest n...Read More
It's remarkable that just last April, West Texas Intermediate crude was trading at a negative $40. Well, fast forward to today when moments ago, the US black gold grade just topped $85 for the first time since 2014, the landmark in a global energy crunch that has seen prices soar. Brent traded about 150 cents higher as the spread between the two grades has narrowed sharply in recent weeks.Oil...Read More
By Bloomberg macro commentator and analyst Tommi UtoslahtiA global bond market meltdown is only a matter of time. One fine morning, traders will wake up to find all benchmark yields sharply higher, 10 to 20 basis points or more, and no buyers around.Bond price indicators are flashing deep red right now, from decade-high inflation expectations to waning auction demand and whispers of depressed l...Read More
Kitco News, Released on Released on 10/26/21Last time Bitcoin hit an all-time high in 2017, the price corrected and stayed flat for 2 years before regaining momentum in 2020. What will happen this time?0:00 - Stagflation2:51 - Biggest macroeconomic risks7:59 - Inflation hedges14:15 - Bitcoin20:00 - Crypto winter bitcoin, economy, inflation, lyn aldenLyn Alden: Bitcoin crashed last time it hit...Read More
"In stark contrast with the mindset of corporate leaders who are dealing daily with the reality of higher and persistent inflationary pressures, the transitory concept has managed to retain an almost mystical hold on the thinking of many policy makers," El-Erian wrote in an Oct. 25 op-ed in Bloomberg."The longer this persists, the greater the risk of a historic policy error whose negative impl...Read More
Submitted by OilPrice.comThe potential for a knock-on effect of rising fuel prices to be felt by other industries is becoming more likely, as oil and gas prices continue to rise to an all-time high, companies are finding it hard to maintain their costs and may have to shift this burden to the consumer any day now. Petrol prices have risen higher and higher this year, as oil makes a comeback in 20...Read More
We've been writing about the evolving global supply shock for some time (most recently today when we addressed what may be required to normalize the supply chain bottlenecks). And yet, every day we read about another dramatic commodity spike or factory shutdown.In a recent report from Deutsche Bank's chief FX strategist George Saravelos, he discusses three sets of charts. They point to a...Read More
Last night we noted the Czechs had the dubious honor of suffering the first yield curve inversion of this cycle...The first inversion of many pic.twitter.com/wNPpbhcbM6- zerohedge (@zerohedge) October 28, 2021Then overnight saw the stress spread to Australia's bond market, as a massive move higher in 2Y Yields undoubtedly triggered chaos in risk control departments.And that VaR shock is now s...Read More
With the Atlanta Fed cutting its GDPNow estimate to just 0.2% yesterday...... there were big worries that today the BEA could reveal a shocker of a number, one far below the rapidly falling consensus estimate of 2.6%. Well, the Q3 GDP number just came out and it was bad, but not nearly as bad as it could have been: at 2.0%, it did indeed miss the 2.6% consensus by a lot but it could have been far...Read More
Having slipped back to COVID-crisis lows, the final print for UMich sentiment was very modestly higher than the preliminary October data but Current Conditions dipped further as Expectations rose a smidge from early October but are down from September.Current Conditions are actually at their weakest since the crisis lows in April 2020.Source: Bloomberg"The positive impact of higher income expectat...Read More
Markit's US Manufacturing PMI tumbled in October, from 60.70 in September to 59.2 in preliminary October data to a final print of 58.4, tracking the dismal disappointing slide in actual US macroeconomic data.ISM's US Manufacturing survey also slipped lower in October (from 61.1 to 60.8) but printed better than the expected 60.5.Source: BloombergThat is the lowest Manufacturing PMI since...Read More
Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,Market Back To Extreme OverboughtWith earnings season in full swing, stocks continued to push higher this week. Even disappointing earnings from Starbucks, Apple, and Amazon couldn't keep the bulls down much. So far, the earnings season has pretty much aligned with expectations. As noted by FactSet:"Overall, 56% of the companies in the S&P...Read More
Last week may have seen the peak of earnings season with the GAMMA companies (fka as FAAMG) reporting earnings that left quite a bit to be desired, but it gets even busier this week with the Fed's Wednesday taper announcement, Friday's nonfarm payrolls report and a slew of other events taking place in the coming five days.In addition to two very closely watched meetings from the RBA (Tue...Read More