The stock market pullback of the last couple of weeks has shown that markets are jittery, and will likely be volatile for a while as investors keep a vigil on rising bond yields (inflation) and potential interest rate hikes. In these uncertain times, one sector that appears to be holding its own, and then some, is commodities. Let's examine why this is the case, and why commodities are going to be...Read More
Over the past month, we have heard a growing roar of dissent and fear as people within the United States and around the financial world worried about a rapidly approaching deadline.A deadline, that if reached, would spell disaster for all!This deadline-self-imposed by Congress-is an artificial ceiling put in place to reign in the controls of big government and keep it in check! If it is reached, l...Read More
Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk 'on' backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch, like Junk bond ratios and the Palladium/Gold ratio say the same thing. Junk/Treasury and Junk/Investment Grade are threatening new highs and as we have noted in NFTRH updates all through the recent market volatilit...Read More
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.To public readers of our updates, our cycle indicator is one of the most effective timing tool for traders and investors. It is not perfect, because periodically the market can be more volatile and can result in short term whipsaws. But overall, the cycle indicator provides us with a clear direction how we should be speculating.InvestorsDuring a major buy si...Read More
"You can't grow your debt at six times the rate of your economy. In other words, if you are creating $6, $8 or $10 of debt to eke out $1 of low productivity growth, you are dooming your currency, and all currencies are doing the same thing. All the currencies are going to take a big drop at some point relative to real stuff."Charles Hugh Smith writes the Of Two Minds blog which covers an eclectic...Read More
"We need to look more closely into this, but if these measures are enacted, it would be difficult for the industry to avoid any impact," Continue...Read More
CloseGain/LossOn WeekGold $1348.70-$4.70+2.58%Silver$16.68-$0.20+2.21%XAU83.23-2.63%+6.23%HUI184.95-2.33%+5.96%GDM631.75-2.20%+5.84%JSE Gold1204.14+7.09+6.38%USD89.15+0.57-1.42%Euro124.12-0.90+1.42%Yen94.00-0.27+2.07%Oil$61.68+$0.34+4.19%10-Year2.871%-0.031+0.56%Bond144.28125+0.28125+0.39%Dow25219.38+0.08%+4.25%Nasdaq7239.47-0.23%+5.31%S&P2732.22+0.04%+4.30% The Metals: Gold gained $8.30 t...Read More
Gold COT Report - FuturesLarge SpeculatorsCommercialTotalLongShortSpreadingLongShortLongShort251,86076,25464,242150,847345,383466,949485,879Change from Prior Reporting Period -21,968-6,6973,685-7,803-18,718-26,086-21,730Traders17279744461251183 Small Speculators LongShortOpen Interest 44,79625,866511,745 2,510-1,846-23,576 non reportable positionsChange from the previous...Read More
Gold rose as the dollar fell to near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, heading for its biggest weekly loss in nine months, as a slew of bearish factors including firming inflation and a fall in retail sales and industrial production hit the dollar.Gold in USD - 10 Years - (GoldCore)U.S. producer prices accelerated in January, boosted by strong rises in the cost of gaso...Read More
Feb 17 (Reuters) - For other diaries, please see:Top Economic Events Polling Unit Diary Today in Washington Political and General News DATECOUNTRY AUCTION DETAILS 19-FebNetherlands DTC auction20-FebGermany Auction of 2-year Treasury notes20-FebSpain Auction of 3- and 9-month Treasury bills20-FebUnited States Sale of 2-year notes21-FebUnited States Sale of 2-year floating rate notes21-FebUnited Sta...Read More
Feb 17 (Reuters) - For other diaries, please see:Top Economic Events Government Debt Auctions Political and General News Events Index of All Diaries Guide to Economic Indicators -----------------------------------------------------------This Diary is filed daily -----------------------------------------------------------MONDAY, FEBRUARY 19SYDNEY - Speech by Michele Bullock, RBA Assistant Governor...Read More
Feb 17 (Reuters) -For other diaries, please see:U.S. Federal Reserve Polling Unit Diary Today in Washington Political and General News -----------------------------------------------------------This Diary is filed daily.** Indicates new events -----------------------------------------------------------MONDAY, FEBRUARY 19BRUSSELS - Eurogroup meeting.TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 20** BRUSSELS - ECB Vice Presid...Read More
Gold best positioned to benefit from rising inflation and asset price deflation. Bullish technical setup on the daily and weekly chart. XAU/USD risk reversals show strong call bias. The current narrative in the market is that yields are rising for all the wrong reasons - fiscal indiscipline, rising price pressures. And hence, the traditional inter market correlations have broken down. Rising bon...Read More
By Daina Beth SolomonMEXICO CITY, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Key Latin American stocks edged up on Friday, helped by optimism on corporate earnings, but investors remained concerned that higher U.S. interest rates could hit demand for emerging markets. Mexico's S&P/BMV IPC index rose 0.12 percent, capping several days of modest gains, while Brazil's Bovespa rose 0.28 percent. In Mexico, bottler and re...Read More
The Chinese New Year, also known as the Spring Festival begins today initiating the year of the dog. Trading was quiet in Asia as markets closed in observance of this holiday. Substantial weekly gains characterized gold pricing as the U.S. dollar index lost ground throughout the trading week. Gold futures (April 2018 contract) had significant gains trading from the lows on Monday at $1,317 per oun...Read More
No one believed Porter Stansberry nine years ago.As head of one of America's largest independent financial research firms, Mr. Stansberry's work back in 2008 led him to a bold, but worrisome, conclusion:That the world's largest mortgage bankers- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which at the time were responsible for nearly 50% of all the mortgages in America-would soon go bankrupt.In fact, in June of 2...Read More
No one believed Porter Stansberry nine years ago.As head of one of America's largest independent financial research firms, Mr. Stansberry's work back in 2008 led him to a bold, but worrisome, conclusion:That the world's largest mortgage bankers- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which at the time were responsible for nearly 50% of all the mortgages in America-would soon go bankrupt.In fact, in June of 2...Read More
(Adds close of U.S. markets)* Indictment over alleged Russian election meddling cools market* Stocks rally for sixth straight session* Euro zone, Treasury bond yields fall* Crude rises on equity rebound and weak dollar By Herbert LashNEW YORK, Feb 16 (Reuters) - The dollar rose and stocks around the globe rallied for a sixth straight session on Friday to post their best week in more than two yea...Read More
(Adds details, table, analyst's comment, byline)By Saqib Iqbal AhmedNEW YORK, Feb 16 (Reuters) - Speculators' net short bets on the U.S. dollar in the latest week shrank to a six-week low, according to calculations by Reuters and Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.The value of the net short dollar positions - derived from net positions of International Monetary Market spe...Read More
BOSTON, Feb 16 (Reuters) - A New Jersey trader filed a lawsuit against Fidelity Investments, accusing it of "gross negligence" because he could not make trades on the company's website earlier this month during a volatile time on the stock market.The complaint by Christopher Musso comes after mutual fund company Fidelity, which also operates one of the largest U.S. online brokerages, sai...Read More