Brazilian domestic flat steel prices rose on Friday July 10 after local steelmakers began implementing previously announced price increases amid recovering demand.Most flat steel prices were heard increasing by around 5%, or half of the hike announced in June, when steelmakers told distributors they would increase prices by 10%.According to market participants, an additional 5% price rise is alrea...Read More
Key data from the pricing sessions in Asia, Europe and the United States for the week ended Friday July 10.China Seaborne ore prices fell in response to lower offers for August shipments, with some market participants remaining bearish about the near-term outlook due to rising portside stocks and higher-than-expected volumes of cargoes flowing to China (particularly for 37% material). There was go...Read More
Key data from the pricing sessions in Asia, Europe and the United States in the week ending Friday July 10.China The spot price range for 75-grade ferro-silicon narrowed downward due to continuing weakness in the magnesium sector, despite major steel mills increasing their July tender prices for 72-grade alloy. Hebei Steel set its final July tender price for 72-grade ferro-silicon at 6,100 yu...Read More
The US primary foundry alloy premium inched up on Friday July 10 even as spot activity remained muted, supported by improving sentiment as automotive supply chains in the US normalize. Premiums in Europe were unchanged.US premium rises, but market quietFastmarkets assessed the aluminium wheel alloy silicon 7 ingot/T-bar premium, dlvd dup over P1020A Midwest US at 6-9 cents per lb on July 10, up fr...Read More
The London Metal Exchange is looking for ways to boost its options market, which has been struggling for some years to replicate the growth seen in the same sector among its peers.The exchange has launched a consultation, scheduled to end on July 29, on developing electronic options via a new trading platform while retaining its current inter-office options trading structure.Items up for discussio...Read More
The threat of Section 232 tariffs on aluminium imports from Canada into the United States has, like the great white shark following the Brody family in the universally panned film, 'Jaws: The Revenge,' returned - akin to a truly awful horror movie franchise. And that's how Neil Herrington, senior vice president for the Americas, US Chamber of Commerce, views reports that the US administration is c...Read More
The posting of 1.81 trillion yuan in new Chinese loans early in the European trading session on Friday July 10 led to a rally across all London Metal Exchange three-month base metals prices.LME base metals futures moved higher as fund positioning became less bearish, with bids moving into firmly bullish territory, and all metals, apart from tin, ended the day up compared with Thursday's close."You...Read More
Market participants say off-warrant aluminium stocks are much higher than what is reflected in this week's London Metal Exchange data release, but many welcomed the added transparency. As part of a new warehouse reform, the LME has begun publishing off-warrant stock data. In the data published yesterday, it highlighted an extra 1 million tonnes of aluminium available as of the end of May 2020. So...Read More
The LME three-month nickel price was trading down 1.2% on the previous day's close at around $13,080 per tonne during the morning session on Friday July 10, continuing its descent from yesterday's $13,550 per tonne intraday high.Yesterday's shadow-stock report from the London Metal Exchange said that 18,753 tonnes of nickel was available off-warrant globally, which constitutes about 8% of the 234,...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Capped by oversupplyA lack of a meaningful supply adjustment to the Covid-19 demand hit is keeping the aluminium physical market oversupplied and weighing on prices, limiting the success of more buoyant macro and technical forces on prices. Our premium forecasts are under review in light of threats from the U...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Demand outlook revisedWe are not surprised to see aluminium prices retreat from last week's high after flagging up in recent reports that they had become overbought. 'Sell-the-rally' traders will be targeting the April high now, down at $1,534 per tonne. This week we have reviewed our aluminium demand forecasts fo...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Aluminium: Short-term upside targets achievedLME aluminium's price recovery to $1,600 per tonne has been driven by macro forces acting on all metals, and amplified for aluminium by technical factors after prices became so oversold at the double-bottom lows in April and May. With a 4-million-tonne supply surplus this year, al...Read More
In light of the recent turmoil in the oil market, the Fastmarkets research team has closely examined the correlations between the price of oil and the prices for ferrous scrap and finished steel products, to discover nuanced relationships and their changes over time.It is common for steel market participants to refer to high correlations between oil prices and the prices for scrap and steel. Among...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Price uptrend stumbles, but expected to resumeAs we expected, Chinese export and domestic steel prices moved upward in June, settling within the 2% range of our forecasts. Rebar prices trended downward in the second half of the month while heavy rains and floods in parts of the country meant that some construction sites had...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.The latest forecast of global oil country tubular goods (OCTG) consumption paints a stark picture of the slowdown in demand from the energy industry in the wake of the Covid-19 outbreak and subsequent oil and gas retreat.For 2020, total global consumption is expected to amount to 13.2 million tonnes, a decline of nearly 3.5...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Depending on which market one looks at, prices of coated steels have either risen, fallen or remained roughly the same since mid-May. One crucial impact of the Covid-19 pandemic that has swept the world this year is the decoupling it appears to have created between global steel markets.In China, prices of most steel products...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.In previous reports, we noted that upside risks to our forecasts existed. These were based on Chinese steel production, and in turn alloy consumption, outperforming our expectations.Chinese crude steel production is rising each month in a year-on-year comparison, prompting our revised view that Chinese alloy consumption will...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.The Covid-19 pandemic and the associated impacts on steel production, mining and manufacturing activity, end-use consumption, and trade and transportation continue to dominate ferro-alloy markets. US steel mills are operating at around 50% of capacity, with similarly low operating rates evident in Europe as well. Chinese ste...Read More
Ferro-alloys prices have generally retreated over the past month, with demand concerns gaining in prominence.The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.Ferro-alloy pricing trends have generally diverged ove the past month, depending on the security of the supply-side position of the market. With most supply concerns fading with the resumption of industrial activity i...Read More
The latest forecasts from Fastmarkets' team of analysts are ready to view.This month's key ferro-alloy forecast highlights:While the ferro-alloy industry's initial response to the Covid-19 outbreak was marked by rising prices primarily in response to supply-side concerns, focus has now shifted somewhat. As Chinese activity slowly returns to more normal levels, for alloys with a strong Chinese prod...Read More