The following is an excerpt from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 488. For NFTRH bonds are not just an asset class 'throw-in' but instead are a key indicator set to the entire modern macro. Insofar as it may be time to use them for portfolio balance (I am currently long SHV, SHY, IEI & IEF), so much the better. Many could not wait to buy bonds during US ZIRP global NIRP ope...Read More
The previous week was quite rich in important events. Silver rallied significantly on Wednesday and mining stocks underperformed significantly on Thursday. Gold declined significantly after moving to the previous high, but without a breakdown to new 2018 lows the situation remains tense, especially that the USD Index is fighting to break above an important support / resistance line. These signal...Read More
By Keith WeinerWe have been promising to get back to the topic of capital destruction, which we put on hiatus for the last several weeks to make our case that the interest rate remains in a falling trend. Today, we have a different way of looking at capital destruction.Socialism is the system of seeking out and destroying capital. Redistribution means taking someone's capital and handing it over...Read More
Continue...Stephen S. Roach, former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia and the firm's chief economist, is a senior fellow at Yale University's Jackson Institute of Global Affairs and a senior lecturer at Yale's School of Management. He the author, most recently, of Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China and Stephen Roach on the Next Asia: Opportunities and Challenges for a New Globalizatio...Read More
Analysts disagree about which indicator is best for calling market tops, but the easiest to understand - and the most tragic - is probably margin debt.This is money borrowed by (usually individual or "retail") investors against their existing stocks to buy more stocks. Investors tend to do this when markets are rising and using leverage seems like an effortless way turbocharge their gains. But eve...Read More
By Dave KranzlerThe pension crisis is inching closer by the day. @CalPERS just voted to increase the amount cities must pay to the agency. Cities point to possible insolvency if payments keep rising but CalPERS is near insolvency itself. It may be reform or bailout soon. - Steve Westly, former California controller and CalPERS board member.1.5 MILLION RETIREES AWAIT CONGRESSIONAL FIX FOR A PENSI...Read More
For a market analyst there is an irresistible temptation to seek out one or more historical parallels to the current situation. The idea is that clues about what's going to happen in the future can be found by looking at what happened following similar price action in the past. Sometimes this method works, sometimes it doesn't.Assuming that the decline from the January-2018 peak is a short-term co...Read More
By Clint SiegnerBullion investors buy gold and silver as a matter of self-reliance. Physical metals aren't dependent upon the promises of financial institutions, governments, or other third parties.This lack of counterparty risk makes precious metals quite different from most conventional assets. There is no possibility of a default or mismanagement which renders them worthless. That is a lot mo...Read More
The rally into early Monday, February 26, 2018 is no surprise to me. The charts below were written over the weekend suggesting follow through buying into early Monday at or above SPX 2754 and then a sudden fast reversal down below the 2532 area.I've seen this e-wave pattern before following a wxy W Wave where Wave X sees an irregular topping pattern (coming out of a bull flag formation) catching t...Read More
Source: Jack Chan for Streetwise Reports 02/26/2018 Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movements in the gold and silver markets. -->Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.The gold sector is on a long-term buy signal. Long-term signals can last for months and years and are more suitable for investors holding for long term.The gold sector is on a short-term sell signal. Short-term...Read More
Will digital gold provide the benefits of physical gold?- Digital gold and crypto gold products claim to combine efficiencies of blockchain with value of gold- They are yet to provide the same benefits or safety as owning physical gold- National mints jumping in on the 'sexy blockchain' act - BOE declares bitcoin 'not a currency;' Royal Mint launches blockchain gold product- Digital gold, block...Read More
By Frank HolmesStrengths? The best performing metal this week was palladium, up 0.11 percent as hedge funds boosted their net bullish in the metal. Gold traders are split between bullish and bearish on the yellow metal after the U.S. dollar rose this week. In the prior week traders were bullish and positive sentiment sent $529 million into the VanEck Gold Miners ETF.?...Read More
We have been promising to get back to the topic of capital destruction, which we put on hiatus for the last several weeks to make our case that the interest rate remains in a falling trend. Today, we have a different way of looking at capital destruction.Socialism is the system of seeking out and destroying capital. Redistribution means taking someone's capital and handing it over as income to som...Read More
"Higher inflation, solid hedging demand, softer dollar, and improving consumption in China provide a supportive environment for prices"Continue...Read More
By Gary TanashianFor Notes From the Rabbit Hole bonds are not just an asset class 'throw-in' but instead are a key indicator set to the entire modern macro. Insofar as it may be time to use them for portfolio balance (I am currently long SHV, SHY, IEI & IEF), so much the better. Many could not wait to buy bonds during US ZIRP global NIRP operations, but today they pay better interest and have a...Read More
Current Position of the MarketSPX: Long-term trend - The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.Intermediate trend - An intermediate correction from 2872 may be over.Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends...Read More
By BullionStarhttps://www.bullionstar.com/The rapid emergence and commercialization of blockchain technology is undoubtedly one of the key technological trends at the moment, not just within crypto currencies, but as a disruptive technology across many industries and economic functions.At a high level, a blockchain is a distributed and public digital ledger of transactions that is updated across...Read More
- Digital gold and crypto gold products claim to combine efficiencies of blockchain with value of gold- They are yet to provide the same benefits or safety as owning physical gold- National mints jumping in on the 'sexy blockchain' act - BOE declares bitcoin 'not a currency;' Royal Mint launches blockchain gold product- Digital gold, blockchain gold and crypto gold is frequently not fully bac...Read More
ELKO, Nev., Feb. 26, 2018 /PRNewswire/ -- U.S. Gold Corp. (NASDAQ: USAU), a gold exploration and development company, today announced it will be presenting at the 30th Annual ROTH Conference at the Ritz Carlton in Dana Point, California. The conference will be held from March 11-14, 2018. Event: 30th Annual ROTH Conference Date of U.S. Gold Presentation: Monday, March 12, 2018Time: 7:00 AM...Read More
Peter KrauthThere's been no shortage of forces pushing and pulling on the price of gold over the past week.Federal Reserve minutes, stocks, the dollar, rising bond yields, budget deficits, inflation, sentiment, and even simple demand versus supply.Gold gave up most of the gains it managed to tack on in the previous week. The bulk of that weakness came on Tuesday, as traders were preparing for the...Read More